Fri, Apr 23, 2021·Madison Square Garden, New York
Philadelphia Flyers 1, New York Rangers 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 17 | 09 | 011 | 127 |
| NYR | 26 | 010 | 28 | 424 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:02NYRChris KreiderPPAssists: Artemi Panarin, Adam Fox · Tip-in, 0.20 xG0–1
- P1 6:47PHIOskar LindblomAssists: Jakub Voracek, Sean Couturier · Backhand, 0.12 xG1–1
- P1 7:56NYRPavel BuchnevichGWGAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Alexis Lafrenière · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–2
- P3 9:24NYRAlexis LafrenièreAssists: Pavel Buchnevich, Mika Zibanejad · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–3
- P3 13:40NYRFilip ChytilAssists: Kaapo Kakko, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 5:11PHIKevin Hayes: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 17:32PHIIvan Provorov: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 12:33PHIScott Laughton: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:33NYRKevin Rooney: Fighting5 min
- P2 14:55NYRFilip Chytil: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 15:34NYRK'Andre Miller: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Laughton won the faceoff against Strome
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestvan Riemsdyk – Laughton – Konecny10:30
xG 0.55–0.12 (82%)attempts 15–4goals 0–0
- Giroux – Couturier – Allison2:19
xG 0.22–0.06 (79%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Aube-Kubel – Farabee – Cates2:06
xG 0.31–0.20 (61%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Hayes – Lindblom – Allison2:37
xG 0.01–0.04 (17%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBraun – Provorov14:57
xG 0.51–0.17 (75%)attempts 17–9goals 0–0
- Gostisbehere – Myers12:38
xG 0.62–0.59 (51%)attempts 8–8goals 1–2
- Hagg – Sanheim12:41
xG 0.21–0.21 (50%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestRooney – Howden – Kravtsov4:45
xG 0.42–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Strome – Panarin6:19
xG 0.14–0.01 (91%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Zibanejad – Buchnevich – Lafrenière12:46
xG 0.49–0.54 (48%)attempts 9–16goals 2–0
- Kreider – Chytil – Kakko9:19
xG 0.23–0.35 (40%)attempts 5–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Hajek8:39
xG 0.27–0.05 (85%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Hajek – Miller3:58
xG 0.16–0.14 (53%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
- Lindgren – Jones9:41
xG 0.13–0.17 (44%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).