Tue, Apr 27, 2021·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Detroit Red Wings 0, Columbus Blue Jackets 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 013 | 014 | 09 | 05 | 0 | 041 |
| CBJ | 016 | 07 | 09 | 01 | 2 | 133 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- No goals in regulation or overtime.
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Patrik Laine scored
- 2. DET Jakub Vrana stopped
- 3. CBJ Cam Atkinson stopped
- 4. DET Adam Erne stopped
- 5. CBJ Oliver Bjorkstrand scored
Penalties (5)
- P1 13:33DETDennis Cholowski: Holding2 min
- P1 17:09DETRichard Panik: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:41CBJDean Kukan: High sticking2 min
- P3 17:09CBJMax Domi: Holding2 min
- P3 17:09DETSam Gagner: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Texier won the faceoff against Rasmussen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestNamestnikov – Erne – Zadina9:55
xG 0.74–0.24 (75%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Gagner – Panik – Veleno9:12
xG 0.57–0.52 (52%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Helm – Glendening – Svechnikov6:05
xG 0.19–0.17 (52%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Filppula – Vrana – Rasmussen12:10
xG 0.67–1.05 (39%)attempts 7–19goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDeKeyser – Lindstrom15:55
xG 0.91–0.53 (63%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
- Cholowski – Hronek16:35
xG 1.20–1.15 (51%)attempts 14–22goals 0–0
- Staal – Stecher15:56
xG 0.94–1.18 (44%)attempts 13–18goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestBjorkstrand – Domi – Robinson16:17
xG 1.21–0.57 (68%)attempts 21–13goals 0–0
- Atkinson – Texier – Foudy11:32
xG 0.95–0.72 (57%)attempts 18–8goals 0–0
- Grigorenko – Roslovic – Laine10:57
xG 0.68–0.49 (58%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Gerbe – Matteau – MacInnis6:08
xG 0.04–0.50 (8%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKukan – Bayreuther10:25
xG 0.71–0.27 (72%)attempts 13–6goals 0–0
- Del Zotto – Kukan4:43
xG 0.29–0.02 (94%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Lehtonen15:43
xG 0.92–0.70 (57%)attempts 15–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − DET), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).