Thu, Apr 29, 2021·Prudential Center, Newark
Philadelphia Flyers 3, New Jersey Devils 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 03 | 211 | 110 | 324 |
| NJD | 29 | 15 | 25 | 519 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:10NJDYegor SharangovichPPAssists: Will Butcher, Damon Severson · Snap, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 15:28NJDYegor SharangovichPPAssists: Damon Severson, Janne Kuokkanen · Backhand, 0.16 xG0–2
- P2 7:14PHIScott LaughtonSHUnassisted · Snap, 0.26 xG1–2
- P2 9:00NJDJesper BoqvistAssists: Nick Merkley, Mikhail Maltsev · Slap, 0.25 xG1–3
- P2 12:17PHISean CouturierAssists: Justin Braun, Jakub Voracek · Tip-in, 0.09 xG2–3
- P3 13:15NJDPavel ZachaGWGAssists: Will Butcher · Snap, 0.11 xG2–4
- P3 15:53NJDJesper BrattENAssists: Pavel Zacha, Ryan Murray · Wrist, 0.71 xG2–5
- P3 18:10PHITravis KonecnyPPAssists: Jakub Voracek · Snap, 0.11 xG3–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 6:40PHIWade Allison: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 10:11PHIScott Laughton: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 14:04PHIPhilippe Myers: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 5:54PHIJoel Farabee: Fighting5 min
- P2 5:54NJDConnor Carrick: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:17PHIIvan Provorov: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:17NJDNick Merkley: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 17:27NJDTy Smith: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McLeod won the faceoff against Laughton
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestLindblom – Patrick – Farabee3:08
xG 0.37–0.10 (79%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Laughton – Konecny4:17
xG 0.20–0.01 (97%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Konecny – Cates2:02
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Giroux – Voracek – Couturier12:24
xG 0.73–0.62 (54%)attempts 16–9goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestBraun – Provorov7:12
xG 0.69–0.23 (75%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Myers – Zamula3:35
xG 0.24–0.05 (84%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Sanheim – Myers2:55
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZacha – Bratt – Hischier8:30
xG 0.63–0.29 (69%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Merkley – Maltsev – Boqvist10:12
xG 0.42–0.53 (44%)attempts 6–10goals 1–1
- Wood – Bastian – McLeod11:52
xG 0.03–0.27 (10%)attempts 3–10goals 0–0
- Kuokkanen – Sharangovich – Hughes11:09
xG 0.26–0.54 (33%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBahl – Smith10:09
xG 0.32–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Carrick – Bahl2:22
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Carrick – Butcher12:04
xG 0.21–0.76 (22%)attempts 7–16goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).