Sat, May 1, 2021·Honda Center, Anaheim
Los Angeles Kings 2, Anaheim Ducks 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 09 | 04 | 212 | 225 |
| ANA | 110 | 212 | 311 | 633 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:44ANATrevor ZegrasAssists: Maxime Comtois, Jacob Larsson · Backhand, 0.15 xG0–1
- P2 12:33ANADanton HeinenAssists: Jacob Larsson, Cam Fowler · Slap, 0.06 xG0–2
- P2 13:09ANANicolas DeslauriersGWGAssists: Derek Grant, Danton Heinen · Slap, 0.12 xG0–3
- P3 1:48ANAMax JonesAssists: Danton Heinen, Jamie Drysdale · Wrist, 0.25 xG0–4
- P3 3:51LAKBrendan LemieuxAssists: Sean Walker · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–4
- P3 5:14ANAJacob LarssonAssists: Cam Fowler · Slap, 0.04 xG1–5
- P3 11:10ANAMaxime ComtoisAssists: Trevor Zegras, Troy Terry · Wrist, 0.26 xG1–6
- P3 18:12LAKTobias BjornfotAssists: Adrian Kempe, Andreas Athanasiou · Slap, 0.09 xG2–6
Penalties (4)
- P1 10:39ANARyan Getzlaf: Slashing2 min
- P1 13:11LAKTobias Bjornfot: Tripping2 min
- P3 0:41ANAMaxime Comtois: Cross checking2 min
- P3 0:41LAKMikey Anderson: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zegras won the faceoff against Vilardi
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestAthanasiou – Kempe – Byfield12:57
xG 0.50–0.30 (63%)attempts 13–12goals 1–1
- Lemieux – Wagner – Anderson-Dolan13:07
xG 0.51–0.35 (59%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
- Moore – Vilardi – Andersson13:59
xG 0.41–0.83 (33%)attempts 14–15goals 0–1
- Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo11:21
xG 0.16–0.78 (17%)attempts 8–14goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Roy – Bjornfot16:26
xG 0.44–0.43 (50%)attempts 13–14goals 1–1
- Maatta – Walker15:38
xG 0.63–1.04 (37%)attempts 18–20goals 1–3
- Doughty – Anderson19:37
xG 0.52–1.00 (34%)attempts 14–20goals 0–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestTerry – Comtois – Zegras13:03
xG 1.16–0.21 (85%)attempts 17–10goals 2–0
- Rakell – Volkov – Lundeström13:47
xG 0.49–0.48 (50%)attempts 11–15goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Carrick – Jones13:13
xG 0.23–0.28 (46%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Grant – Deslauriers – Heinen9:46
xG 0.35–0.54 (39%)attempts 11–11goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestFleury – Drysdale15:41
xG 0.68–0.26 (73%)attempts 18–13goals 0–0
- Fowler – Larsson18:24
xG 1.17–0.80 (59%)attempts 18–15goals 5–1
- Shattenkirk – Benoit17:47
xG 0.51–0.44 (54%)attempts 17–16goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).