Tue, May 4, 2021·Prudential Center, Newark
Boston Bruins 3, New Jersey Devils 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 015 | 212 | 19 | 00 | 336 |
| NJD | 19 | 04 | 26 | 12 | 421 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:42NJDPavel ZachaPPAssists: Jack Hughes, Nico Hischier · Slap, 0.14 xG0–1
- P2 4:36BOSPatrice BergeronPPAssists: David Pastrnak, Matt Grzelcyk · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 14:02BOSTaylor HallAssists: Matt Grzelcyk, David Krejci · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–1
- P3 9:10NJDJesper BoqvistAssists: Damon Severson, Marián Studenic · Snap, 0.26 xG2–2
- P3 10:42BOSSean KuralyAssists: David Pastrnak, Mike Reilly · Tip-in, 0.11 xG3–2
- P3 12:41NJDYegor SharangovichAssists: Damon Severson, Kevin Bahl · Snap, 0.06 xG3–3
- OT 2:42NJDPavel ZachaGWGAssists: Jack Hughes, Will Butcher · Backhand, 0.19 xG3–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:16BOSMatt Grzelcyk: Interference2 min
- P1 6:42BOSConnor Clifton: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 8:39BOSCharlie McAvoy: Tripping2 min
- P1 11:27NJDNathan Bastian: Hooking2 min
- P2 3:36NJDNick Merkley: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 7:49BOSDavid Pastrnak: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:02NJDJesper Boqvist: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against McLeod
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKrejci – Smith – Hall11:06
xG 0.81–0.27 (75%)attempts 16–7goals 1–0
- Coyle – Kuraly – Ritchie7:55
xG 0.48–0.05 (91%)attempts 11–1goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak12:20
xG 0.63–0.33 (66%)attempts 14–9goals 0–2
- Lazar – DeBrusk – Frederic6:41
xG 0.26–0.40 (40%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – McAvoy7:32
xG 1.19–0.21 (85%)attempts 15–4goals 1–0
- Clifton – Lauzon6:50
xG 0.43–0.06 (89%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Reilly – Clifton8:06
xG 0.38–0.16 (71%)attempts 11–4goals 1–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZacha – Bratt – Hischier9:37
xG 0.57–0.32 (64%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Boqvist – Studenic – Hughes2:45
xG 0.26–0.40 (39%)attempts 2–3goals 1–0
- Kuokkanen – Sharangovich – Hughes8:26
xG 0.30–0.49 (38%)attempts 5–8goals 1–0
- Merkley – Boqvist – Studenic2:38
xG 0.00–0.20 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Carrick – Butcher15:33
xG 0.46–0.53 (47%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
- Tennyson – Bahl10:56
xG 0.26–0.74 (26%)attempts 4–16goals 0–1
- Murray – Severson16:25
xG 0.30–1.21 (20%)attempts 11–20goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).