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Ice Lab

Sat, May 8, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Montréal Canadiens 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 69% of the time.

TOR winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:42Shot by Toffoli, saved by Campbell
  3. P1 1:05Shot by Armia, saved by Campbell
  4. P1 2:29Shot by Hutton, saved by Allen
  5. P1 2:35Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen
  6. P1 3:34Goal by Kulak (Belzile)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Simmonds, Holl, Brooks · MTL Chiarot, Belzile, Kulak, Lehkonen, Evans

  7. P1 3:42Shot by Suzuki, saved by Campbell
  8. P1 5:44Shot by Caufield, saved by Campbell
  9. P1 6:14Shot by Chiarot, saved by Campbell
  10. P1 8:15Shot by Hutton, saved by Allen
  11. P1 11:18Shot by Marner, saved by Allen
  12. P1 12:30Holl: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Thornton, Muzzin, Holl, Marner, Matthews · MTL Petry, Chiarot, Armia, Lehkonen, Evans

  13. P1 13:18Shot by Suzuki, saved by Campbell4v5
  14. P1 0:00Period end
  15. P2 0:00Period start
  16. P2 0:31Goal by Suzuki (Toffoli, Petry)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Galchenyuk, Nylander · MTL Petry, Toffoli, Edmundson, Armia, Suzuki

  17. P2 1:09Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen
  18. P2 2:16Shot by Brooks, saved by Allen
  19. P2 2:18Shot by Brooks, saved by Allen
  20. P2 4:07Shot by Evans, saved by Campbell
  21. P2 4:14Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Campbell
  22. P2 5:02Goal by Engvall (Spezza, Holl)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Engvall, Mikheyev · MTL Tatar, Merrill, Belzile, Evans, Romanov

  23. P2 5:20Shot by Tatar, saved by Campbell
  24. P2 6:10Marner: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Thornton, Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · MTL Staal, Perry, Chiarot, Kulak, Caufield

  25. P2 7:57Shot by Anderson, saved by Campbell4v5
  26. P2 10:04Shot by Suzuki, saved by Campbell
  27. P2 10:54Shot by Edmundson, saved by Campbell
  28. P2 13:36Goal by Nylander (Tavares, Muzzin)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Galchenyuk, Nylander · MTL Merrill, Belzile, Lehkonen, Suzuki, Romanov

  29. P2 13:50Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Allen
  30. P2 14:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen
  31. P2 15:49Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Allen
  32. P2 16:33Goal by Marner (Matthews)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Thornton, Muzzin, Holl, Marner, Matthews · MTL Chiarot, Toffoli, Armia, Kulak, Suzuki

  33. P2 17:45Shot by Tatar, saved by Campbell
  34. P2 18:31Shot by Belzile, saved by Campbell
  35. P2 19:14Shot by Petry, saved by Campbell
  36. P2 19:24Shot by Engvall, saved by Allen
  37. P2 19:29Petry: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Holl, Rielly, Kerfoot, Engvall, Mikheyev · MTL Staal, Perry, Petry, Kulak, Caufield

  38. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 1:44Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Campbell
  41. P3 2:18Shot by Simmonds, saved by Allen
  42. P3 2:23Shot by Rielly, saved by Allen
  43. P3 2:29Shot by Rielly, saved by Allen
  44. P3 3:26Shot by Muzzin, saved by Allen
  45. P3 3:56Nylander: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander, Engvall · MTL Petry, Tatar, Toffoli, Edmundson, Armia, Suzuki

  46. P3 6:57Shot by Rielly, saved by Allen
  47. P3 7:56Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen
  48. P3 8:40Shot by Kulak, saved by Campbell
  49. P3 9:53Shot by Nylander, saved by Allen
  50. P3 11:08Shot by Toffoli, saved by Campbell
  51. P3 11:59Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Allen
  52. P3 16:21Shot by Tavares, saved by Allen
  53. P3 16:30Shot by Nylander, saved by Allen
  54. P3 17:15Shot by Thornton, saved by Allen
  55. P3 17:20Shot by Thornton, saved by Allen
  56. P3 18:14Shot by Toffoli, saved by Campbell5v6
  57. P3 19:32Petry: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Brodie, Tavares, Kerfoot, Mikheyev · MTL Staal, Petry, Armia, Lehkonen, Kotkaniemi, Caufield

  58. P3 19:55Shot by Perry, saved by Campbell
  59. P3 0:00Shot by Perry, saved by Campbell
  60. P3 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Final