Wed, Oct 13, 2021·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Vancouver Canucks 2, Edmonton Oilers 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 010 | 012 | 213 | 03 | 1 | 238 |
| EDM | 114 | 111 | 09 | 00 | 2 | 334 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:55EDMJesse PuljujarviAssists: Darnell Nurse, Connor McDavid · Wrist, 0.26 xG0–1
- P2 17:12EDMZach HymanPPAssists: Leon Draisaitl, Connor McDavid · Wrist, 0.36 xG0–2
- P3 12:28VANOliver Ekman-LarssonPPAssists: Nils Hoglander, Conor Garland · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–2
- P3 17:11VANQuinn HughesAssists: Nils Hoglander, J.T. Miller · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. EDM Leon Draisaitl stopped
- 2. VAN Elias Pettersson stopped
- 3. EDM Connor McDavid stopped
- 4. VAN J.T. Miller stopped
- 5. EDM Tyson Barrie stopped
- 6. VAN Conor Garland stopped
- 7. EDM Ryan Nugent-Hopkins scored
- 8. VAN Bo Horvat scored
- 9. EDM Kyle Turris scored
- 10. VAN Tanner Pearson stopped
Penalties (11)
- P2 3:24EDMRyan McLeod: Slashing2 min
- P2 6:47VANOliver Ekman-Larsson: Cross checking2 min
- P2 13:15EDMColton Sceviour: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:15VANTyler Myers: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 13:15EDMColton Sceviour: Instigator2 min
- P2 13:15EDMColton Sceviour: Misconduct10 min
- P2 16:17VANConor Garland: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 19:17EDMZach Hyman: Holding2 min
- P3 6:14EDMKris Russell: Cross checking2 min
- P3 10:59EDMTyson Barrie: Tripping2 min · PPG
- OT 5:00VANBo Horvat: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McDavid won the faceoff against Pettersson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestDickinson – Highmore – Hoglander7:20
xG 0.52–0.30 (63%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Miller – Pettersson – Podkolzin2:20
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Dowling – Lammikko – Podkolzin3:47
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Miller – Pettersson – Hoglander2:51
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–2goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurroughs – Rathbone10:27
xG 0.63–0.55 (53%)attempts 12–17goals 0–0
- Ekman-Larsson – Poolman3:22
xG 0.06–0.03 (66%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Poolman – Hughes14:53
xG 0.57–0.79 (42%)attempts 9–17goals 1–0
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestHyman – Nugent-Hopkins – Yamamoto10:11
xG 0.73–0.05 (94%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Draisaitl – McDavid – Puljujarvi16:55
xG 1.09–0.97 (53%)attempts 16–15goals 1–1
- Sceviour – Foegele – Ryan6:06
xG 0.67–0.61 (52%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Turris – Perlini – McLeod4:42
xG 0.08–0.03 (75%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRussell – Bouchard11:09
xG 1.00–0.56 (64%)attempts 19–10goals 0–0
- Keith – Ceci12:40
xG 0.48–0.22 (69%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Barrie – Nurse17:48
xG 1.01–1.04 (49%)attempts 20–18goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
EDM's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line EDM is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (EDM − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).