Fri, Oct 15, 2021·Prudential Center, Newark
Chicago Blackhawks 3, New Jersey Devils 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 06 | 111 | 210 | 00 | 327 |
| NJD | 16 | 113 | 19 | 11 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:17NJDDougie HamiltonAssists: Pavel Zacha · Snap, 0.08 xG0–1
- P2 0:51CHIAlex DeBrincatPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Tyler Johnson · Snap, 0.16 xG1–1
- P2 17:58NJDJack HughesAssists: Yegor Sharangovich, Janne Kuokkanen · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–2
- P3 6:34NJDAndreas JohnssonAssists: Dawson Mercer, Tomas Tatar · Backhand, 0.19 xG1–3
- P3 16:07CHIKirby DachPPAssists: Tyler Johnson, Patrick Kane · Snap, 0.18 xG2–3
- P3 19:34CHIDominik KubalikAssists: Brandon Hagel, Seth Jones · Slap, 0.18 xG3–3
- OT 0:57NJDJack HughesGWGAssists: Ryan Graves · Backhand, 0.18 xG3–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 7:33NJDDougie Hamilton: Slashing2 min
- P1 19:54NJDJanne Kuokkanen: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 3:05CHITyler Johnson: Interference2 min
- P2 13:23CHIConnor Murphy: Tripping2 min
- P3 0:16NJDJesper Bratt: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:49NJDDawson Mercer: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestToews – Kubalik – Kurashev9:08
xG 0.56–0.35 (62%)attempts 7–5goals 0–1
- Khaira – Gaudette – Entwistle6:16
xG 0.08–0.04 (65%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Borgstrom – Hagel – Dach5:40
xG 0.22–0.29 (43%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Kane – Johnson – DeBrincat6:21
xG 0.26–0.52 (33%)attempts 4–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestde Haan – Jones12:00
xG 0.86–0.15 (85%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Gustafsson – Jones2:18
xG 0.17–0.33 (34%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Gustafsson – Stillman10:58
xG 0.39–0.88 (31%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestTatar – Johnsson – Mercer6:35
xG 1.04–0.29 (78%)attempts 14–3goals 1–0
- Vesey – McLeod – Studenic6:54
xG 0.44–0.27 (62%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Zacha – Bratt – Hischier10:20
xG 0.60–0.46 (56%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
- Kuokkanen – Sharangovich – Hughes10:25
xG 0.12–0.26 (32%)attempts 4–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSubban – Siegenthaler12:08
xG 0.82–0.32 (72%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Graves16:13
xG 1.08–0.80 (58%)attempts 17–7goals 3–0
- Subban – White2:22
xG 0.09–0.09 (50%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).