Tue, Oct 19, 2021·Centre Bell, Montreal
San Jose Sharks 5, Montréal Canadiens 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 312 | 15 | 18 | 525 |
| MTL | 03 | 011 | 07 | 021 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:22SJSJonathan DahlenGWGAssists: Timo Meier, Brent Burns · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–0
- P1 3:36SJSJonathan DahlenAssists: Logan Couture, Timo Meier · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–0
- P1 19:22SJSErik KarlssonAssists: Matt Nieto, Mario Ferraro · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–0
- P2 3:09SJSTimo MeierPPAssists: Logan Couture, Erik Karlsson · Wrist, 0.06 xG4–0
- P3 14:31SJSKevin LabancPPAssists: Erik Karlsson, William Eklund · Slap, 0.04 xG5–0
Penalties (8)
- P1 4:47MTLBrendan Gallagher: Roughing2 min
- P1 4:47MTLBrendan Gallagher: Roughing2 min
- P1 4:47SJSErik Karlsson: Roughing2 min
- P1 17:00MTLMike Hoffman: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:11MTLCole Caufield: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 3:52SJSJasper Weatherby: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 2:37SJSLane Pederson: Holding2 min
- P3 13:37MTLBen Chiarot: Roughing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dvorak won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Meier – Dahlen9:46
xG 0.84–0.17 (83%)attempts 14–8goals 2–0
- Hertl – Balcers – Eklund10:52
xG 0.18–0.29 (38%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Bonino – Nieto – Labanc10:45
xG 0.09–0.25 (27%)attempts 2–9goals 0–0
- Cogliano – Pederson – Weatherby9:14
xG 0.07–0.35 (17%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Simek13:42
xG 0.67–0.16 (81%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Burns – Ferraro19:00
xG 0.71–0.43 (63%)attempts 14–17goals 2–0
- Karlsson – Middleton14:53
xG 0.06–0.58 (10%)attempts 3–18goals 0–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestHoffman – Toffoli – Suzuki6:35
xG 0.30–0.12 (72%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Armia – Paquette – Lehkonen7:02
xG 0.13–0.01 (94%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Anderson – Drouin – Dvorak13:43
xG 0.45–0.39 (53%)attempts 14–8goals 0–2
- Gallagher – Brooks – Caufield5:03
xG 0.16–0.25 (40%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Wideman – Kulak12:45
xG 0.33–0.31 (52%)attempts 13–6goals 0–0
- Petry – Romanov16:04
xG 0.52–0.57 (48%)attempts 15–9goals 0–1
- Savard – Chiarot15:26
xG 0.31–0.50 (38%)attempts 14–11goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).