Tue, Oct 19, 2021·United Center, Chicago
New York Islanders 4, Chicago Blackhawks 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 09 | 112 | 38 | 429 |
| CHI | 018 | 013 | 19 | 140 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 4:08NYIAnthony BeauvillierUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–0
- P3 0:48NYIOliver WahlstromGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–0
- P3 8:51NYIOliver WahlstromAssists: Jean-Gabriel Pageau · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–0
- P3 11:06NYICal ClutterbuckUnassisted · Wrist, 0.04 xG4–0
- P3 19:34CHIMacKenzie EntwistleAssists: Kirby Dach, Erik Gustafsson · Wrist, 0.16 xG4–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 11:14NYIZach Parise: Slashing2 min
- P1 16:34CHIMike Hardman: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:17NYIScott Mayfield: Cross checking2 min
- P2 17:54CHISeth Jones: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:07NYIMatt Martin: Fighting5 min
- P3 8:07CHIJujhar Khaira: Fighting5 min
- P3 13:31NYICasey Cizikas: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Johnson won the faceoff against Cizikas
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestPalmieri – Barzal – Bellows6:45
xG 0.28–0.17 (63%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Parise – Pageau – Wahlstrom8:53
xG 0.41–0.30 (58%)attempts 14–12goals 2–0
- Bailey – Nelson – Bellows2:02
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas8:06
xG 0.01–0.18 (6%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPelech – Pulock3:38
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Chara – Pulock11:58
xG 0.35–0.29 (55%)attempts 8–10goals 1–0
- Greene – Dobson7:36
xG 0.29–0.26 (53%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDeBrincat – Borgstrom – Hardman5:13
xG 0.43–0.35 (55%)attempts 9–8goals 0–2
- Toews – Khaira – Kubalik2:39
xG 0.12–0.04 (74%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Kane – Hagel – Dach8:16
xG 0.27–0.19 (58%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Johnson – Khaira – Entwistle3:10
xG 0.09–0.03 (75%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestde Haan – Jones15:56
xG 0.70–0.30 (70%)attempts 24–8goals 0–0
- Murphy – McCabe18:15
xG 0.54–0.45 (55%)attempts 13–18goals 0–1
- Gustafsson – Stillman8:41
xG 0.36–0.29 (55%)attempts 10–8goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it NYI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − NYI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).