Thu, Oct 21, 2021·Prudential Center, Newark
Washington Capitals 4, New Jersey Devils 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 213 | 17 | 17 | 427 |
| NJD | 08 | 07 | 111 | 126 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:14WSHAnthony ManthaAssists: Daniel Sprong, Trevor van Riemsdyk · Backhand, 0.10 xG1–0
- P1 9:33WSHDmitry OrlovGWGAssists: Alex Ovechkin, Evgeny Kuznetsov · Backhand, 0.16 xG2–0
- P2 9:56WSHDaniel SprongUnassisted · Snap, 0.45 xG3–0
- P3 9:16WSHEvgeny KuznetsovAssists: Tom Wilson, Alex Ovechkin · Snap, 0.18 xG4–0
- P3 13:18NJDJanne KuokkanenPPAssists: Damon Severson, Yegor Sharangovich · Slap, 0.08 xG4–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 11:12NJDDamon Severson: Interference2 min
- P3 3:47NJDRyan Graves: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:37WSHCarl Hagelin: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 14:36NJDAndreas Johnsson: Roughing2 min
- P3 14:36WSHDmitry Orlov: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:47NJDMason Geertsen: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuznetsov won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Washington Capitals
Forward lines
- bestOshie – Sheary – McMichael10:54
xG 1.17–0.09 (93%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Wilson13:07
xG 0.86–0.65 (57%)attempts 10–14goals 1–0
- Hagelin – Dowd – Hathaway11:22
xG 0.47–0.46 (50%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Eller – Mantha – Sprong9:44
xG 0.71–1.18 (38%)attempts 8–15goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestOrlov – Jensen13:31
xG 1.15–0.39 (75%)attempts 14–11goals 2–0
- Schultz – van Riemsdyk12:41
xG 0.59–0.79 (43%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Carlson – Fehérváry17:05
xG 0.71–1.34 (35%)attempts 10–22goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestGeertsen – Gauthier – Sharangovich4:32
xG 0.66–0.19 (77%)attempts 8–2goals 0–1
- Zacha – Kuokkanen – Hischier8:07
xG 0.29–0.19 (61%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Zacha – Bratt – Hischier4:15
xG 0.08–0.03 (72%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Vesey – Geertsen – Gauthier3:25
xG 0.19–0.23 (45%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Siegenthaler2:50
xG 0.52–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Graves – Jaros2:13
xG 0.18–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Subban – Severson4:04
xG 0.48–0.41 (54%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it WSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − WSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).