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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 28, 2021·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Calgary Flames 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 69% of the time.

PIT winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:21Shot by Kapanen, saved by Markstrom
  3. P1 2:03Shot by Coleman, saved by DeSmith
  4. P1 3:04Shot by Gudbranson, saved by DeSmith
  5. P1 3:20Shot by Mangiapane, saved by DeSmith
  6. P1 3:26Shot by Dube, saved by DeSmith
  7. P1 3:42Shot by Tkachuk, saved by DeSmith
  8. P1 4:09Shot by Stone, saved by DeSmith
  9. P1 5:11Shot by Lewis, saved by DeSmith
  10. P1 7:22Goal by Gaudreau (Tkachuk)+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Blueger, McGinn, Marino, Aston-Reese · CGY Tanev, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Andersson, Tkachuk

  11. P1 8:00Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Markstrom
  12. P1 8:16Shot by Friedman, saved by Markstrom
  13. P1 8:53Shot by Lucic, saved by DeSmith
  14. P1 9:38Shot by Guentzel, saved by Markstrom
  15. P1 10:19Shot by McGinn, saved by Markstrom
  16. P1 10:34Shot by Blueger, saved by Markstrom
  17. P1 11:15Shot by Friedman, saved by Markstrom
  18. P1 12:15Coleman: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Zucker, Kapanen, Marino, O'Connor · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Pitlick, Coleman, Andersson

  19. P1 12:33Shot by Guentzel, saved by Markstrom5v4
  20. P1 12:34Gudbranson: High sticking double minor (4 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Zucker, Guentzel, Kapanen, Marino, Rodrigues · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Gudbranson, Lindholm

  21. P1 13:30Shot by Kapanen, saved by Markstrom5v3
  22. P1 14:22Shot by Zucker, saved by Markstrom5v4
  23. P1 14:54Shot by Heinen, saved by Markstrom5v4
  24. P1 15:06Shot by Marino, saved by Markstrom5v4
  25. P1 16:01Shot by Guentzel, saved by Markstrom5v4
  26. P1 16:12Shot by Kapanen, saved by Markstrom5v4
  27. P1 16:30Shot by Coleman, saved by DeSmith5v4
  28. P1 17:57Shot by Ritchie, saved by DeSmith
  29. P1 19:54Shot by Kapanen, saved by Markstrom
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:16Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Markstrom
  33. P2 1:42Shot by Coleman, saved by DeSmith
  34. P2 1:53Shot by Matheson, saved by Markstrom
  35. P2 3:23Shot by Lafferty, saved by Markstrom
  36. P2 3:47Shot by Marino, saved by Markstrom
  37. P2 5:23Shot by Friedman, saved by Markstrom
  38. P2 5:24Shot by O'Connor, saved by Markstrom
  39. P2 6:46Shot by Monahan, saved by DeSmith
  40. P2 8:16Shot by Ritchie, saved by DeSmith
  41. P2 9:18Shot by Simon, saved by Markstrom
  42. P2 11:39Shot by Dube, saved by DeSmith
  43. P2 12:01Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Markstrom
  44. P2 12:28Shot by Coleman, saved by DeSmith
  45. P2 12:45Shot by Lafferty, saved by Markstrom
  46. P2 12:53Shot by Simon, saved by Markstrom
  47. P2 13:19Shot by Blueger, saved by Markstrom
  48. P2 14:36Shot by Dube, saved by DeSmith
  49. P2 14:51Shot by Pitlick, saved by DeSmith
  50. P2 14:53Shot by Backlund, saved by DeSmith
  51. P2 15:12Shot by Lafferty, saved by Markstrom
  52. P2 15:13Shot by Lafferty, saved by Markstrom
  53. P2 15:42Shot by Zucker, saved by Markstrom
  54. P2 16:09Shot by Lucic, saved by DeSmith
  55. P2 16:13Lewis: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Guentzel, Pettersson, Friedman, Heinen, Rodrigues · CGY Lewis, Lucic, Stone, Monahan, Kylington

  56. P2 18:00Shot by Heinen, saved by Markstrom5v4
  57. P2 18:15Shot by Tanev, saved by DeSmith
  58. P2 18:35Shot by Gaudreau, saved by DeSmith
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:04Goal by Coleman (Kylington, Backlund)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Pettersson, Friedman, Lafferty, Simon · CGY Backlund, Stone, Pitlick, Coleman, Kylington

  62. P3 2:05Shot by Lindholm, saved by DeSmith
  63. P3 2:10Dumoulin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Guentzel, Heinen, Marino, Rodrigues · CGY Tanev, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Andersson, Tkachuk

  64. P3 3:30Shot by Gaudreau, saved by DeSmith4v5
  65. P3 3:42Shot by Tkachuk, saved by DeSmith4v5
  66. P3 3:45Shot by Monahan, saved by DeSmith4v5
  67. P3 3:50Shot by Gaudreau, saved by DeSmith4v5
  68. P3 4:17Shot by McGinn, saved by Markstrom
  69. P3 4:37Shot by Heinen, saved by Markstrom
  70. P3 5:32Shot by Coleman, saved by DeSmith
  71. P3 5:41Shot by Friedman, saved by Markstrom
  72. P3 5:41Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Markstrom
  73. P3 5:47McGinn: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Blueger, McGinn, Marino, Aston-Reese · CGY Stone, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Kylington, Tkachuk

  74. P3 7:33Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Markstrom4v5
  75. P3 8:35Shot by Heinen, saved by Markstrom
  76. P3 8:52Shot by Zucker, saved by Markstrom
  77. P3 9:28Shot by Stone, saved by DeSmith
  78. P3 9:47Shot by McGinn, saved by Markstrom
  79. P3 10:15Goal by Dube (Gaudreau, Kylington)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Blueger, McGinn, Marino, Aston-Reese · CGY Gudbranson, Gaudreau, Ritchie, Dube, Välimäki

  80. P3 10:59Shot by Guentzel, saved by Markstrom
  81. P3 11:44Goal by Lucic, unassisted+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Zucker, Kapanen, Pettersson, Friedman, O'Connor · CGY Lucic, Backlund, Tanev, Pitlick, Andersson

  82. P3 12:08Shot by Matheson, saved by Markstrom
  83. P3 12:26Shot by Backlund, saved by DeSmith
  84. P3 12:28Shot by Pitlick, saved by DeSmith
  85. P3 12:45Shot by Matheson, saved by Markstrom
  86. P3 13:26Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Markstrom
  87. P3 13:48Shot by Friedman, saved by Markstrom
  88. P3 14:14Shot by O'Connor, saved by Markstrom
  89. P3 14:59Shot by Stone, saved by DeSmith
  90. P3 15:19Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Markstrom
  91. P3 0:00Period end
  92. P3 0:00Final