Thu, Oct 28, 2021·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Boston Bruins 0, Carolina Hurricanes 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 011 | 013 | 09 | 033 |
| CAR | 111 | 19 | 14 | 324 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:16CARTony DeAngeloGWGAssists: Brady Skjei, Vincent Trocheck · Slap, 0.01 xG0–1
- P2 13:35CARNino NiederreiterPPAssists: Brett Pesce, Frederik Andersen · Deflected, 0.10 xG0–2
- P3 19:35CARAndrei SvechnikovENAssists: Teuvo Teravainen, Sebastian Aho · Slap, 0.76 xG0–3
Penalties (12)
- P2 0:42BOSBrad Marchand: Cross checking2 min
- P2 0:42CARNino Niederreiter: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:36BOSMike Reilly: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:17BOSTomas Nosek: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 14:35CARJordan Staal: Interference2 min
- P2 16:16CARJordan Martinook: Cross checking2 min
- P2 16:49BOSPatrice Bergeron: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:59BOSCharlie McAvoy: Tripping2 min
- P3 5:59CARIan Cole: Interference2 min
- P3 6:58CARSebastian Aho: Tripping2 min
- P3 10:35CARJordan Staal: Boarding2 min
- P3 12:29BOSTaylor Hall: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Staal
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Hall – Studnicka5:18
xG 0.77–0.23 (77%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Haula – Lazar – DeBrusk8:39
xG 0.59–0.42 (58%)attempts 9–11goals 0–1
- Nosek – Frederic – Kuhlman4:50
xG 0.00–0.16 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak11:46
xG 0.26–0.77 (25%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – Carlo10:30
xG 0.54–0.26 (67%)attempts 10–13goals 0–1
- Grzelcyk – McAvoy3:40
xG 0.24–0.10 (70%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Reilly – Zboril11:31
xG 0.61–0.54 (53%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
Carolina Hurricanes
Forward lines
- bestStaal – Niederreiter – Fast8:22
xG 0.94–0.21 (82%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Stepan – Martinook – Lorentz9:17
xG 0.26–0.07 (79%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Trocheck – Necas – Kotkaniemi10:12
xG 0.22–0.37 (38%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov7:04
xG 0.35–1.28 (22%)attempts 4–17goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSkjei – Pesce12:13
xG 0.83–0.60 (58%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
- Cole – DeAngelo11:17
xG 0.40–0.26 (61%)attempts 13–6goals 0–0
- Slavin – Bear13:12
xG 0.35–0.37 (48%)attempts 10–15goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CAR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CAR is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CAR − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).