Thu, Oct 28, 2021·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Montréal Canadiens 4, San Jose Sharks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 110 | 210 | 112 | 432 |
| SJS | 09 | 016 | 020 | 045 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:09MTLMike HoffmanGWGAssists: Brett Kulak, Nick Suzuki · Wrist, 0.30 xG1–0
- P2 8:53MTLAlexander RomanovAssists: Jonathan Drouin · Slap, 0.03 xG2–0
- P2 12:54MTLBrendan GallagherPPAssists: Josh Anderson, Nick Suzuki · Tip-in, 0.16 xG3–0
- P3 17:52MTLJosh AndersonENAssists: Tyler Toffoli, David Savard · Wrist, 0.48 xG4–0
Penalties (11)
- P1 5:47MTLJoel Armia: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 17:20MTLJoel Armia: Hooking2 min
- P2 1:03MTLNick Suzuki: Hooking2 min
- P2 6:12SJSJake Middleton: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:20SJSJonah Gadjovich: Kneeing2 min · PPG
- P2 15:16MTLDavid Savard: Tripping2 min
- P3 5:43SJSAndrew Cogliano: High sticking2 min
- P3 19:57SJSJonah Gadjovich: Instigator2 min
- P3 19:57SJSJonah Gadjovich: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:57MTLAlexander Romanov: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:57SJSJonah Gadjovich: Game misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Dvorak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestArmia – Paquette – Lehkonen4:35
xG 0.73–0.06 (92%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Toffoli – Drouin – Dvorak2:07
xG 0.06–0.05 (54%)attempts 3–3goals 1–0
- Perreault – Toffoli – Caufield5:57
xG 0.07–0.15 (33%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Hoffman – Gallagher – Suzuki10:26
xG 0.62–0.77 (44%)attempts 7–20goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestKulak – Niku11:22
xG 1.06–0.38 (73%)attempts 9–11goals 1–0
- Petry – Chiarot16:15
xG 0.79–0.53 (60%)attempts 14–11goals 0–0
- Savard – Romanov14:06
xG 0.24–0.55 (31%)attempts 8–21goals 1–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHertl – Balcers – Eklund9:36
xG 0.52–0.19 (74%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Couture – Meier – Dahlen9:47
xG 0.42–0.39 (52%)attempts 9–10goals 0–1
- Pederson – Gadjovich – Weatherby5:17
xG 0.04–0.32 (12%)attempts 1–5goals 0–1
- Cogliano – Bonino – Labanc8:49
xG 0.16–0.70 (19%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKarlsson – Middleton12:00
xG 0.85–0.22 (79%)attempts 13–6goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Simek7:20
xG 0.28–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Middleton – Ferraro3:24
xG 0.25–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).