Sat, Oct 30, 2021·TD Garden, Boston
Florida Panthers 2, Boston Bruins 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 013 | 115 | 17 | 00 | 0 | 235 |
| BOS | 114 | 010 | 18 | 01 | 1 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:18BOSCharlie CoyleAssists: Taylor Hall, Curtis Lazar · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–1
- P2 0:47FLAAnthony DuclairAssists: Carter Verhaeghe, Aaron Ekblad · Snap, 0.15 xG1–1
- P3 7:49FLAAleksander BarkovPPAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Aaron Ekblad · Snap, 0.09 xG2–1
- P3 13:35BOSCharlie McAvoyPPAssists: Brad Marchand, Taylor Hall · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. FLA Jonathan Huberdeau stopped
- 2. BOS Jake DeBrusk stopped
- 3. FLA Aleksander Barkov stopped
- 4. BOS Charlie Coyle scored
- 5. FLA Owen Tippett stopped
Penalties (4)
- P1 15:33FLABrandon Montour: Interference2 min
- P2 12:37FLACarter Verhaeghe: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:43BOSCharlie Coyle: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 13:17FLACarter Verhaeghe: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestReinhart – Vatrano – Marchment11:24
xG 0.26–0.11 (71%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Duclair – Verhaeghe – Barkov13:35
xG 0.59–0.51 (54%)attempts 17–8goals 1–0
- Hornqvist – Dalpe – Lomberg3:59
xG 0.02–0.04 (32%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Huberdeau – Tippett – Luostarinen10:24
xG 0.10–0.74 (12%)attempts 7–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestConnauton – Montour11:35
xG 0.25–0.17 (60%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Gudas – Forsling16:23
xG 0.54–0.54 (50%)attempts 24–9goals 0–0
- Weegar – Ekblad19:23
xG 0.33–0.48 (40%)attempts 8–14goals 1–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestSmith – Coyle – Hall3:02
xG 0.19–0.02 (90%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Coyle – Hall – Pastrnak9:31
xG 0.40–0.24 (62%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith8:48
xG 0.22–0.08 (74%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Haula – Lazar – DeBrusk11:46
xG 0.40–0.28 (59%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestReilly – Clifton13:24
xG 0.54–0.24 (69%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
- Reilly – McAvoy2:49
xG 0.16–0.02 (91%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Forbort – McAvoy14:18
xG 0.44–0.30 (59%)attempts 7–6goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).