Sat, Oct 30, 2021·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Montréal Canadiens 2, Los Angeles Kings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 18 | 010 | 110 | 228 |
| LAK | 010 | 215 | 313 | 538 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 18:22MTLJosh AndersonAssists: Christian Dvorak, Alexander Romanov · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–0
- P2 4:31LAKViktor ArvidssonAssists: Anze Kopitar, Olli Maatta · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 12:19LAKArthur KaliyevPPAssists: Kale Clague, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–2
- P3 1:53LAKRasmus KupariPPGWGAssists: Matt Roy, Alex Iafallo · Snap, 0.11 xG1–3
- P3 5:37LAKAlex IafalloAssists: Matt Roy · Wrist, 0.23 xG1–4
- P3 14:16LAKAlex IafalloPPAssists: Phillip Danault, Rasmus Kupari · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–5
- P3 17:40MTLBen ChiarotAssists: Josh Anderson, Nick Suzuki · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 10:34LAKAdrian Kempe: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:42MTLJosh Anderson: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 12:55MTLAlexander Romanov: Holding2 min
- P2 13:16LAKAdrian Kempe: High sticking2 min
- P3 0:23MTLChristian Dvorak: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 5:52MTLArtturi Lehkonen: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:51MTLMathieu Perreault: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 15:34LAKArthur Kaliyev: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Perreault won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestAnderson – Drouin – Dvorak11:34
xG 0.56–0.39 (59%)attempts 10–12goals 1–1
- Perreault – Toffoli – Caufield10:36
xG 0.59–0.45 (57%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Armia – Paquette – Lehkonen7:03
xG 0.15–0.06 (73%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Hoffman – Gallagher – Suzuki7:43
xG 0.17–0.46 (27%)attempts 5–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKulak – Niku10:41
xG 0.48–0.28 (63%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Chiarot – Romanov2:29
xG 0.12–0.19 (39%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Petry – Chiarot15:20
xG 0.61–0.71 (46%)attempts 14–14goals 1–2
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Kempe – Iafallo10:42
xG 0.78–0.32 (71%)attempts 15–6goals 1–1
- Brown – Kopitar – Arvidsson13:29
xG 0.76–0.42 (64%)attempts 14–11goals 1–0
- Lemieux – Andersson – Lizotte10:56
xG 0.40–0.42 (49%)attempts 10–13goals 0–0
- Moore – Kupari – Kaliyev8:41
xG 0.25–0.33 (44%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Clague12:54
xG 0.77–0.50 (61%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
- Maatta – Roy14:27
xG 0.79–0.55 (59%)attempts 16–14goals 2–2
- Anderson – Bjornfot17:34
xG 0.70–0.53 (57%)attempts 18–16goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).