Sun, Oct 31, 2021·Prudential Center, Newark
Columbus Blue Jackets 4, New Jersey Devils 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 213 | 07 | 13 | 03 | 1 | 426 |
| NJD | 19 | 212 | 014 | 04 | 0 | 339 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:07NJDAndreas JohnssonAssists: Jesper Bratt, P.K. Subban · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 11:55CBJOliver BjorkstrandPPAssists: Jakub Voracek, Patrik Laine · Slap, 0.18 xG1–1
- P1 14:54CBJPatrik LaineAssists: Jakub Voracek · Slap, 0.04 xG2–1
- P2 8:37NJDDawson MercerAssists: P.K. Subban · Wrap-around, 0.06 xG2–2
- P2 9:54NJDDougie HamiltonAssists: Nico Hischier, Pavel Zacha · Snap, 0.02 xG2–3
- P3 14:35CBJBoone JennerUnassisted · Snap, 0.11 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. NJD Jesper Bratt stopped
- 2. CBJ Oliver Bjorkstrand stopped
- 3. NJD Dougie Hamilton stopped
- 4. CBJ Patrik Laine stopped
- 5. NJD Dawson Mercer stopped
- 6. CBJ Jakub Voracek scored
Penalties (5)
- P1 11:04NJDDawson Mercer: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 6:18NJDJonas Siegenthaler: Holding2 min
- P3 2:56CBJJake Bean: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 16:27CBJVladislav Gavrikov: Cross checking2 min
- P3 17:53CBJScott Harrington: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Jenner
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestBjorkstrand – Domi – Roslovic8:19
xG 0.89–0.30 (75%)attempts 15–5goals 0–1
- Kuraly – Texier – Robinson8:24
xG 0.24–0.10 (72%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Nyquist – Bjorkstrand – Sillinger2:34
xG 0.14–0.10 (58%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Hofmann – Domi – Roslovic2:46
xG 0.01–0.00 (75%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHarrington – Carlsson7:25
xG 0.49–0.23 (68%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Carlsson – Gavrikov3:34
xG 0.31–0.17 (65%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
- Harrington – Gavrikov2:57
xG 0.11–0.03 (78%)attempts 2–3goals 1–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestJohnsson – Bratt – Mercer11:34
xG 0.69–0.39 (64%)attempts 15–8goals 1–0
- Vesey – McLeod – Sharangovich9:56
xG 0.45–0.30 (60%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Gauthier – Kuokkanen – Studenic7:46
xG 0.12–0.05 (71%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Vesey – McLeod – Kuokkanen2:40
xG 0.10–0.07 (58%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamilton – Graves16:50
xG 1.11–0.35 (76%)attempts 26–11goals 1–0
- Subban – Siegenthaler13:11
xG 0.31–0.49 (39%)attempts 9–12goals 1–0
- Severson – Smith14:42
xG 0.37–0.97 (27%)attempts 10–17goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).