Sun, Oct 31, 2021·Honda Center, Anaheim
Montréal Canadiens 2, Anaheim Ducks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 15 | 17 | 06 | 218 |
| ANA | 210 | 07 | 29 | 426 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:39ANAAdam HenriquePPAssists: Sonny Milano, Kevin Shattenkirk · Snap, 0.25 xG0–1
- P1 4:12MTLMike HoffmanPPAssists: Chris Wideman, Jonathan Drouin · Slap, 0.02 xG1–1
- P1 12:47ANAVinni LettieriPPAssists: Adam Henrique, Kevin Shattenkirk · Snap, 0.11 xG1–2
- P2 18:05MTLJake EvansAssists: Artturi Lehkonen, Jeff Petry · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–2
- P3 10:10ANATroy TerryGWGAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Cam Fowler · Backhand, 0.12 xG2–3
- P3 18:50ANASam CarrickENAssists: Cam Fowler, Isac Lundeström · Backhand, 0.66 xG2–4
Penalties (12)
- P1 1:43MTLBrett Kulak: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
- P1 4:07ANASam Carrick: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 10:17MTLCedric Paquette: Roughing2 min
- P1 10:17ANASonny Milano: Roughing2 min
- P1 10:17MTLCedric Paquette: Boarding5 min · PPG
- P1 10:17MTLCedric Paquette: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 13:45MTLArtturi Lehkonen: Holding2 min
- P2 2:44ANADerek Grant: Slashing2 min
- P2 3:20MTLJonathan Drouin: Hooking2 min
- P2 6:55MTLBrett Kulak: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:52ANATroy Terry: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 7:25ANAKevin Shattenkirk: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Suzuki
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestArmia – Lehkonen – Evans3:43
xG 0.80–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 1–0
- Armia – Brooks – Caufield5:37
xG 0.22–0.27 (45%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Hoffman – Toffoli – Suzuki8:42
xG 0.01–0.15 (9%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Anderson – Drouin – Dvorak11:42
xG 0.24–0.63 (27%)attempts 7–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Romanov14:27
xG 0.93–0.15 (86%)attempts 11–5goals 0–1
- Wideman – Kulak10:17
xG 0.38–0.26 (59%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Petry – Chiarot14:55
xG 0.05–0.77 (6%)attempts 6–17goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Terry – Groulx10:26
xG 0.27–0.20 (58%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
- Henrique – Milano – Zegras5:48
xG 0.27–0.20 (57%)attempts 6–2goals 0–1
- Lettieri – Comtois – Lundeström2:26
xG 0.04–0.12 (26%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Grant – Deslauriers – Carrick4:56
xG 0.09–0.20 (30%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFowler – Manson12:43
xG 0.44–0.18 (71%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Shattenkirk – Lindholm2:22
xG 0.00–0.12 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Drysdale12:17
xG 0.19–0.33 (36%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).