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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 2, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Vegas Golden Knights 0, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 79% of the time.

TOR winsVGK wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:19Shot by Nylander, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 5:10Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 5:36Shot by Kase, saved by Lehner
  5. P1 6:06Shot by Ritchie, saved by Lehner
  6. P1 8:11Shot by Rielly, saved by Lehner
  7. P1 8:34Shot by Engvall, saved by Lehner
  8. P1 9:32Shot by Dadonov, saved by Campbell
  9. P1 10:30Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 11:31Goal by Marner (Tavares, Kerfoot)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Kerfoot, Marner, Liljegren, Sandin · VGK McNabb, Janmark, Coghlan, Leschyshyn, Krebs

  11. P1 12:19Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Campbell
  12. P1 13:50Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Lehner
  13. P1 15:06Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner
  14. P1 15:26Shot by Nylander, saved by Lehner
  15. P1 16:20Shot by Kase, saved by Lehner
  16. P1 16:26Shot by Marchessault, saved by Campbell
  17. P1 16:57Shot by Liljegren, saved by Lehner
  18. P1 17:49Shot by Carrier, saved by Campbell
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:34Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner
  22. P2 1:02Shot by Liljegren, saved by Lehner
  23. P2 1:28Shot by Janmark, saved by Campbell
  24. P2 1:44McNabb: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Sandin · VGK McNabb, Janmark, Carrier, Amadio, Coghlan

  25. P2 1:56Shot by Rielly, saved by Lehner5v4
  26. P2 2:53Shot by Tavares, saved by Lehner5v4
  27. P2 2:59Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Marner)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · VGK Martinez, Pietrangelo, Janmark, Leschyshyn

  28. P2 3:18Shot by Kolesar, saved by Campbell
  29. P2 4:58Shot by Tavares, saved by Lehner
  30. P2 7:47Shot by Hague, saved by Campbell
  31. P2 7:55Shot by Theodore, saved by Campbell
  32. P2 10:26Shot by Hague, saved by Campbell
  33. P2 10:38Shot by Bunting, saved by Lehner
  34. P2 10:49Liljegren: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Rielly, Ritchie, Liljegren · VGK McNabb, Janmark, Coghlan, Leschyshyn, Krebs

  35. P2 14:27Shot by Leschyshyn, saved by Campbell
  36. P2 14:33Simmonds: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Rielly, Ritchie, Sandin · VGK McNabb, Amadio, Coghlan, Leschyshyn, Krebs

  37. P2 15:23Shot by Marchessault, saved by Campbell4v5
  38. P2 15:43Shot by Dadonov, saved by Campbell4v5
  39. P2 15:46Shot by Marner, saved by Lehner4v5
  40. P2 16:15Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Lehner4v5
  41. P2 17:09Shot by Nylander, saved by Lehner
  42. P2 19:14Shot by Rielly, saved by Lehner
  43. P2 19:15Goal by Matthews (Rielly, Marner)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren · VGK Martinez, McNabb, Stephenson, Carrier, Krebs

  44. P2 19:45Shot by Marchessault, saved by Campbell
  45. P2 19:55Shot by Coghlan, saved by Campbell
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:14Shot by Nylander, saved by Lehner
  49. P3 0:19Shot by Bunting, saved by Lehner
  50. P3 2:43Goal by Nylander (Bunting, Brodie)+2 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Brodie, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews · VGK Martinez, Smith, Marchessault, Stephenson, Theodore

  51. P3 5:26Shot by Theodore, saved by Campbell
  52. P3 7:28Shot by McNabb, saved by Campbell
  53. P3 8:16Shot by Roy, saved by Campbell
  54. P3 8:22Shot by Theodore, saved by Campbell
  55. P3 8:30Shot by Marner, saved by Lehner
  56. P3 8:36Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Lehner
  57. P3 8:42Shot by Tavares, saved by Lehner
  58. P3 9:24Tavares: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Kase, Kampf, Sandin · VGK Pietrangelo, Carrier, Hague, Leschyshyn, Krebs

  59. P3 11:59Shot by Amadio, saved by Campbell
  60. P3 12:44Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Campbell
  61. P3 13:23Shot by Roy, saved by Campbell
  62. P3 13:46Shot by Dadonov, saved by Campbell
  63. P3 13:58Shot by Hague, saved by Campbell
  64. P3 15:48Shot by Marner, saved by Lehner
  65. P3 16:32Shot by Janmark, saved by Campbell
  66. P3 17:47Shot by Brodie, saved by Lehner
  67. P3 19:00Shot by Coghlan, saved by Campbell
  68. P3 19:00Shot by Krebs, saved by Campbell
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final