Tue, Nov 2, 2021·Honda Center, Anaheim
New Jersey Devils 0, Anaheim Ducks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 011 | 010 | 07 | 028 |
| ANA | 17 | 110 | 210 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:05ANARyan GetzlafPPGWGAssists: Cam Fowler, Vinni Lettieri · Slap, 0.06 xG0–1
- P2 3:48ANATroy TerryPPAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Kevin Shattenkirk · Slap, 0.17 xG0–2
- P3 3:38ANATroy TerryAssists: Ryan Getzlaf · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–3
- P3 7:19ANAIsac LundeströmSHAssists: Derek Grant · Backhand, 0.11 xG0–4
Penalties (12)
- P1 8:54ANATroy Terry: Slashing2 min
- P1 10:45NJDDougie Hamilton: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 2:03NJDTomas Tatar: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 3:00NJDNico Hischier: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:29ANASam Steel: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:41NJDAndreas Johnsson: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 13:46ANAJamie Drysdale: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:18NJDJanne Kuokkanen: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 4:20ANATrevor Zegras: Holding2 min
- P3 6:29ANAKevin Shattenkirk: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 10:40NJDTy Smith: Slashing2 min
- P3 16:27NJDPavel Zacha: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Getzlaf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestTatar – Zacha – Hischier8:54
xG 0.51–0.22 (70%)attempts 10–6goals 0–1
- Johnsson – Bratt – Mercer8:14
xG 0.53–0.39 (58%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
- Vesey – McLeod – Kuokkanen2:13
xG 0.04–0.04 (51%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Gauthier – McLeod – Studenic3:14
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Smith7:30
xG 0.52–0.08 (87%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Severson – Siegenthaler2:27
xG 0.27–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Graves6:17
xG 0.37–0.19 (66%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestSteel – Lettieri – Lundeström6:33
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–0goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Henrique – Terry7:58
xG 0.46–0.53 (46%)attempts 12–12goals 1–0
- Deslauriers – Milano – Zegras7:32
xG 0.22–0.29 (42%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Grant – Carrick – Groulx6:29
xG 0.06–0.17 (28%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Mahura9:02
xG 0.28–0.06 (82%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Manson – Mahura2:37
xG 0.01–0.05 (16%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Drysdale10:45
xG 0.40–0.55 (42%)attempts 17–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).