Wed, Nov 3, 2021·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
St. Louis Blues 2, Los Angeles Kings 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 010 | 113 | 112 | 00 | 2 | 235 |
| LAK | 06 | 010 | 211 | 08 | 3 | 335 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 6:48STLBrayden SchennPPAssists: Vladimir Tarasenko, Torey Krug · Wrist, 0.35 xG1–0
- P3 6:16LAKArthur KaliyevAssists: Kale Clague, Alexander Edler · Snap, 0.11 xG1–1
- P3 12:15LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Alex Iafallo, Phillip Danault · Wrist, 0.23 xG1–2
- P3 19:51STLTorey KrugSHAssists: Jordan Kyrou, Vladimir Tarasenko · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. LAK Adrian Kempe scored
- 2. STL David Perron scored
- 3. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 4. STL Jordan Kyrou scored
- 5. LAK Alex Iafallo scored
- 6. STL Vladimir Tarasenko stopped
- 7. LAK Arthur Kaliyev scored
- 8. STL Brayden Schenn stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 9:45STLTyler Bozak: Tripping2 min
- P2 1:22STLColton Parayko: Hooking2 min
- P2 6:43LAKAlexander Edler: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 18:50STLBrandon Saad: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 17:40STLDavid Perron: Hooking2 min
- P3 17:40LAKRasmus Kupari: Embellishment2 min
- P3 19:00STLRobert Thomas: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thomas won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestBozak – Saad – Buchnevich9:51
xG 0.86–0.18 (83%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Perron – Schenn – Kyrou14:02
xG 0.48–0.49 (50%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Neal – Joshua – Kostin8:33
xG 0.20–0.22 (47%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
- Tarasenko – Barbashev – Thomas13:47
xG 0.62–0.66 (48%)attempts 11–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFaulk – Krug10:48
xG 0.46–0.28 (62%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Bortuzzo – Walman9:13
xG 0.41–0.25 (62%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Krug – Parayko5:11
xG 0.29–0.19 (61%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Kempe – Iafallo14:04
xG 0.87–0.41 (68%)attempts 18–10goals 1–0
- Grundstrom – Moore – Kupari10:14
xG 0.46–0.32 (59%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Lemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev9:09
xG 0.17–0.50 (25%)attempts 5–10goals 1–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Andersson10:55
xG 0.13–1.04 (11%)attempts 4–17goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAnderson – Bjornfot17:22
xG 0.96–0.51 (65%)attempts 20–14goals 1–0
- Maatta – Roy16:04
xG 0.30–0.86 (26%)attempts 13–16goals 0–0
- Edler – Clague15:24
xG 0.37–1.04 (26%)attempts 11–20goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).