Sat, Nov 6, 2021·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
New Jersey Devils 3, San Jose Sharks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 010 | 17 | 18 | 03 | 2 | 328 |
| SJS | 09 | 19 | 15 | 04 | 1 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 4:48SJSRudolfs BalcersAssists: Mario Ferraro, Brent Burns · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 16:45NJDRyan GravesAssists: Nico Hischier, Michael McLeod · Snap, 0.12 xG1–1
- P3 4:21SJSJonathan DahlenPPAssists: Brent Burns, Nick Merkley · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–2
- P3 17:04NJDJanne KuokkanenUnassisted · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. SJS Logan Couture scored
- 2. NJD Jesper Bratt scored
- 3. SJS Rudolfs Balcers stopped
- 4. NJD Alexander Holtz stopped
- 5. SJS Tomas Hertl stopped
- 6. NJD Damon Severson scored
Penalties (7)
- P1 9:37NJDDamon Severson: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:39SJSRudolfs Balcers: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:14SJSNick Bonino: High sticking2 min
- P3 1:22SJSRudolfs Balcers: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:04NJDJanne Kuokkanen: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 7:06NJDJesper Bratt: Tripping2 min
- P3 14:23SJSAndrew Cogliano: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestVesey – McLeod – Kuokkanen2:25
xG 0.25–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 1–0
- Tatar – Zacha – Hischier4:48
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Johnsson – Bratt – Mercer6:13
xG 0.32–0.28 (53%)attempts 10–3goals 0–1
- Sharangovich – Mercer – Holtz4:31
xG 0.07–0.10 (40%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Smith2:37
xG 0.14–0.02 (85%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- White – Smith7:50
xG 0.12–0.04 (74%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Graves – Siegenthaler5:38
xG 0.08–0.06 (57%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestPederson – Gadjovich – Leonard7:03
xG 0.27–0.05 (84%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Hertl – Balcers – Barabanov10:01
xG 0.30–0.29 (51%)attempts 11–7goals 1–1
- Cogliano – Merkley – Weatherby8:28
xG 0.16–0.36 (30%)attempts 6–10goals 0–1
- Bonino – Couture – Dahlen11:45
xG 0.05–0.41 (11%)attempts 4–17goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMeloche – Hatakka11:28
xG 0.58–0.27 (68%)attempts 17–8goals 0–1
- Megna – Merkley8:56
xG 0.12–0.03 (81%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Meloche – Merkley2:10
xG 0.00–0.09 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).