Tue, Nov 9, 2021·Prudential Center, Newark
Florida Panthers 3, New Jersey Devils 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 112 | 212 | 014 | 338 |
| NJD | 213 | 29 | 39 | 731 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:53FLASam BennettAssists: Owen Tippett, Carter Verhaeghe · Backhand, 0.14 xG1–0
- P1 15:46NJDAndreas JohnssonPPAssists: Jesper Bratt, Damon Severson · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–1
- P1 17:45NJDNico HischierAssists: Ty Smith, P.K. Subban · Tip-in, 0.05 xG1–2
- P2 0:24FLAAleksander BarkovAssists: Carter Verhaeghe, Anthony Duclair · Snap, 0.11 xG2–2
- P2 1:29FLAOwen TippettAssists: Gustav Forsling, Jonathan Huberdeau · Tip-in, 0.10 xG3–2
- P2 1:58NJDAndreas JohnssonAssists: Dawson Mercer, Ty Smith · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–3
- P2 18:15NJDP.K. SubbanGWGAssists: Dawson Mercer, Jonas Siegenthaler · Slap, 0.05 xG3–4
- P3 4:44NJDPavel ZachaPPAssists: Nico Hischier, Alexander Holtz · Backhand, 0.22 xG3–5
- P3 5:13NJDTy SmithAssists: Tomas Tatar, Jesper Boqvist · Snap, 0.01 xG3–6
- P3 16:11NJDJimmy VeseyENAssists: Jonas Siegenthaler · Snap, 0.51 xG3–7
Penalties (6)
- P1 0:50NJDAlexander Holtz: Hooking2 min
- P1 14:08FLALucas Carlsson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 11:52NJDAndreas Johnsson: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:39FLARadko Gudas: Charging2 min
- P3 3:04FLASam Bennett: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 8:30FLAPatric Hornqvist: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McLeod won the faceoff against Luostarinen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestDuclair – Verhaeghe – Barkov10:49
xG 1.10–0.20 (85%)attempts 18–8goals 1–0
- Huberdeau – Bennett – Tippett9:37
xG 0.89–0.12 (88%)attempts 13–4goals 1–0
- Reinhart – Vatrano – Lundell2:26
xG 0.16–0.04 (80%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Reinhart – Mamin – Lundell6:25
xG 0.34–0.48 (41%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMontour – Carlsson11:44
xG 1.25–0.41 (75%)attempts 24–8goals 1–1
- Weegar – Ekblad13:40
xG 1.06–0.33 (76%)attempts 17–10goals 0–1
- Gudas – Carlsson2:47
xG 0.28–0.12 (70%)attempts 3–3goals 0–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZacha – Hischier – Holtz9:18
xG 0.67–0.48 (58%)attempts 12–11goals 1–0
- Tatar – Kuokkanen – Boqvist10:09
xG 0.67–0.85 (44%)attempts 14–17goals 1–0
- Vesey – McLeod – Thompson10:46
xG 0.22–0.60 (27%)attempts 9–12goals 0–1
- Johnsson – Bratt – Mercer8:01
xG 0.14–0.57 (20%)attempts 5–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Subban – Siegenthaler11:15
xG 0.69–0.69 (50%)attempts 15–15goals 1–1
- Severson – Graves15:25
xG 0.77–0.93 (45%)attempts 17–16goals 0–1
- Siegenthaler – White2:17
xG 0.00–0.21 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).