Tue, Nov 9, 2021·United Center, Chicago
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Chicago Blackhawks 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 011 | 011 | 220 | 02 | 0 | 244 |
| CHI | 014 | 212 | 05 | 01 | 2 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:14CHIJujhar KhairaAssists: Jonathan Toews, Dominik Kubalik · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P2 15:53CHISeth JonesAssists: Patrick Kane, Alex DeBrincat · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–2
- P3 5:34PITJeff CarterAssists: Jake Guentzel, Mark Friedman · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–2
- P3 15:43PITJeff CarterAssists: Jake Guentzel, Bryan Rust · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
- 2. PIT Jake Guentzel stopped
- 3. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 4. PIT Kris Letang stopped
- 5. CHI Alex DeBrincat scored
Penalties (7)
- P1 7:35CHIConnor Murphy: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 10:47PITDanton Heinen: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:11PITMark Friedman: Tripping2 min
- P2 6:11CHIJonathan Toews: Slashing2 min
- P3 1:32CHIMike Hardman: High sticking2 min
- OT 3:58CHIMarc-Andre Fleury: Slashing2 min
- OT 3:58PITJeff Carter: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carter won the faceoff against Dach
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Rust – Guentzel12:20
xG 0.83–0.44 (65%)attempts 21–7goals 2–1
- Zucker – Kapanen – Rodrigues9:42
xG 0.62–0.27 (69%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
- Boyle – Heinen – O'Connor5:09
xG 0.41–0.16 (72%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Zucker – Blueger – McGinn4:13
xG 0.18–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLetang – Matheson18:43
xG 1.13–0.66 (63%)attempts 23–13goals 1–0
- Marino – Joseph18:11
xG 0.57–0.26 (69%)attempts 23–8goals 0–1
- Friedman – Riikola7:20
xG 0.51–0.24 (68%)attempts 11–4goals 1–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Gaudette – Hardman2:33
xG 0.10–0.03 (76%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Kane – DeBrincat – Dach16:04
xG 0.69–0.75 (48%)attempts 13–15goals 1–0
- Toews – Khaira – Kubalik10:22
xG 0.40–0.80 (33%)attempts 7–20goals 1–0
- Carpenter – Kurashev – Johnson3:59
xG 0.00–0.44 (0%)attempts 0–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGustafsson – Jones3:28
xG 0.37–0.22 (63%)attempts 6–4goals 1–0
- McCabe – Jones3:13
xG 0.16–0.19 (45%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Murphy – Stillman8:15
xG 0.11–0.20 (36%)attempts 2–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it PIT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − PIT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).