Tue, Nov 9, 2021·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Seattle Kraken 2, Vegas Golden Knights 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 17 | 110 | 010 | 227 |
| VGK | 111 | 15 | 27 | 423 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:49SEAJordan EberlePPAssists: Marcus Johansson, Alexander Wennberg · Backhand, 0.23 xG1–0
- P1 19:34VGKAlex PietrangeloAssists: Chandler Stephenson, William Carrier · Backhand, 0.01 xG1–1
- P2 19:29SEAYanni GourdeAssists: Brandon Tanev, Joonas Donskoi · Snap, 0.12 xG2–1
- P2 19:44VGKEvgenii DadonovAssists: William Carrier, Shea Theodore · Backhand, 0.14 xG2–2
- P3 0:30VGKReilly SmithGWGAssists: Shea Theodore, Jonathan Marchessault · Slap, 0.14 xG2–3
- P3 1:16VGKReilly SmithPPAssists: Jonathan Marchessault, Alex Pietrangelo · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 3:35VGKChandler Stephenson: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min · PPG
- P2 3:19VGKPaul Cotter: Holding2 min
- P2 8:25VGKNicolas Roy: Delaying game face off violation2 min
- P3 0:46SEAAdam Larsson: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 3:24SEABrandon Tanev: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:06VGKAlex Pietrangelo: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 19:17SEAMark Giordano: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Wennberg won the faceoff against Roy
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestJohansson – Donskoi – Geekie10:13
xG 0.54–0.31 (64%)attempts 12–5goals 0–1
- Eberle – Schwartz – Wennberg12:15
xG 0.53–0.44 (55%)attempts 11–12goals 0–2
- Sheahan – McCormick – Bastian5:48
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- Jarnkrok – Gourde – Tanev6:55
xG 0.23–0.38 (38%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSoucy – Dunn13:17
xG 0.71–0.15 (83%)attempts 15–4goals 0–0
- Larsson – Lauzon14:54
xG 0.72–0.64 (53%)attempts 15–10goals 1–2
- Oleksiak – Soucy2:13
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestSmith – Marchessault – Roy9:25
xG 0.65–0.25 (72%)attempts 11–8goals 1–1
- Howden – Rondbjerg – Cotter6:47
xG 0.05–0.14 (26%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Dadonov – Stephenson – Carrier12:49
xG 0.34–0.56 (38%)attempts 10–10goals 2–0
- Janmark – Kolesar – Leschyshyn9:51
xG 0.14–0.56 (20%)attempts 3–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMartinez – Theodore13:04
xG 0.83–0.39 (68%)attempts 16–9goals 2–0
- Martinez – Pietrangelo2:11
xG 0.19–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- McNabb – Coghlan7:32
xG 0.04–0.04 (54%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VGK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VGK is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VGK − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).