Thu, Nov 11, 2021·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Anaheim Ducks 7, Seattle Kraken 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 89% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 116 | 311 | 39 | 736 |
| SEA | 04 | 27 | 214 | 425 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:42ANAMason McTavishUnassisted · Deflected, 0.28 xG1–0
- P2 3:10ANATroy TerryAssists: Jamie Drysdale · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–0
- P2 3:45SEAJaden SchwartzAssists: Jordan Eberle, Vince Dunn · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–1
- P2 6:36ANAJosh MahuraAssists: Derek Grant · Slap, 0.01 xG3–1
- P2 7:50SEAJared McCannAssists: Ryan Donato, Riley Sheahan · Wrist, 0.17 xG3–2
- P2 15:46ANAKevin ShattenkirkAssists: Troy Terry, Ryan Getzlaf · Wrist, 0.04 xG4–2
- P3 3:57SEAJordan EberleAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Jaden Schwartz · Wrist, 0.05 xG4–3
- P3 9:26ANAHampus LindholmGWGAssists: Adam Henrique · Wrist, 0.01 xG5–3
- P3 10:26SEAJared McCannAssists: Ryan Donato, Philipp Grubauer · Wrist, 0.06 xG5–4
- P3 17:21ANASam CarrickENAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Josh Manson · Backhand, 0.74 xG6–4
- P3 19:39ANATroy TerryENAssists: Cam Fowler, Ryan Getzlaf · Backhand, 0.64 xG7–4
Penalties (6)
- P2 2:13SEAJeremy Lauzon: Interference2 min
- P2 2:13ANAMaxime Comtois: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:13SEAJeremy Lauzon: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:47ANASam Carrick: Hooking2 min
- P2 6:54SEAJeremy Lauzon: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:54ANAJosh Manson: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGrant – Carrick – Groulx5:21
xG 0.82–0.00 (100%)attempts 10–0goals 0–0
- Comtois – Lundeström – McTavish4:52
xG 0.36–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–2goals 1–0
- Deslauriers – Milano – Zegras6:40
xG 0.08–0.11 (43%)attempts 4–5goals 0–1
- Deslauriers – Carrick – Zegras2:08
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Drysdale15:50
xG 1.00–0.29 (78%)attempts 25–11goals 1–0
- Shattenkirk – Mahura14:02
xG 0.17–0.25 (41%)attempts 7–14goals 1–2
- Fowler – Manson17:54
xG 0.32–0.62 (34%)attempts 17–11goals 0–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Schwartz – Wennberg8:40
xG 0.79–0.10 (89%)attempts 17–4goals 1–1
- Sheahan – McCann – Donato2:58
xG 0.17–0.03 (85%)attempts 1–1goals 1–0
- Johansson – Jarnkrok – Wennberg4:06
xG 0.21–0.07 (74%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Johansson – Donskoi – Geekie5:19
xG 0.01–0.03 (20%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Lauzon12:17
xG 0.56–0.29 (66%)attempts 12–14goals 0–2
- Larsson – Soucy2:01
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Giordano – Oleksiak19:15
xG 0.48–0.55 (47%)attempts 19–17goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 89% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).