Sat, Nov 13, 2021·Prudential Center, Newark
Boston Bruins 5, New Jersey Devils 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 114 | 212 | 210 | 536 |
| NJD | 09 | 29 | 011 | 229 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:37BOSErik HaulaAssists: Anton Blidh, Karson Kuhlman · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–0
- P2 4:10BOSBrad MarchandPPAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Patrice Bergeron · Snap, 0.08 xG2–0
- P2 4:38NJDDawson MercerAssists: Andreas Johnsson, Jesper Bratt · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–1
- P2 6:52BOSBrad MarchandGWGAssists: David Pastrnak, Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.23 xG3–1
- P2 19:24NJDJesper BrattAssists: Dawson Mercer · Slap, 0.08 xG3–2
- P3 10:49BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: David Pastrnak, Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.24 xG4–2
- P3 19:06BOSJake DeBruskENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.63 xG5–2
Penalties (7)
- P1 6:37NJDJesper Boqvist: High sticking2 min
- P1 7:27BOSJeremy Swayman: Delaying game illegal play by goalie2 min
- P1 10:08BOSConnor Clifton: Interference2 min
- P2 2:58NJDDawson Mercer: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 7:14BOSTaylor Hall: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:50BOSBrandon Carlo: Interference2 min
- P2 13:50NJDNico Hischier: Embellishment2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against McLeod
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak9:55
xG 0.93–0.64 (59%)attempts 13–9goals 1–0
- Haula – Blidh – Kuhlman7:22
xG 0.43–0.35 (55%)attempts 5–13goals 1–0
- Foligno – Coyle – Hall10:44
xG 0.37–0.45 (45%)attempts 12–12goals 0–1
- Blidh – Lazar – Nosek2:19
xG 0.43–0.56 (43%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestClifton – Zboril11:41
xG 0.70–0.38 (65%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
- Forbort – McAvoy15:42
xG 0.72–0.90 (45%)attempts 13–22goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo15:32
xG 0.38–1.11 (25%)attempts 10–19goals 0–2
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZacha – Hischier – Holtz5:52
xG 0.71–0.06 (92%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Tatar – Zacha – Hischier6:56
xG 0.51–0.11 (82%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Johnsson – Bratt – Mercer8:45
xG 0.74–0.69 (52%)attempts 16–6goals 2–0
- Vesey – McLeod – Sharangovich7:02
xG 0.05–0.07 (42%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Smith13:28
xG 1.13–0.74 (60%)attempts 20–10goals 0–1
- Subban – Siegenthaler12:43
xG 0.97–0.66 (60%)attempts 22–10goals 1–1
- Severson – Graves2:42
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).