Sat, Nov 13, 2021·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Los Angeles Kings 2, Winnipeg Jets 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 114 | 110 | 04 | 01 | 229 |
| WPG | 110 | 02 | 19 | 12 | 323 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:59WPGKyle ConnorAssists: Logan Stanley, Pierre-Luc Dubois · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–1
- P1 4:02LAKCarl GrundstromAssists: Trevor Moore · Snap, 0.08 xG1–1
- P2 14:22LAKBrendan LemieuxAssists: Blake Lizotte, Olli Maatta · Wrist, 0.22 xG2–1
- P3 13:36WPGDylan DeMeloSHAssists: Andrew Copp, Logan Stanley · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- OT 0:32WPGMark ScheifeleGWGAssists: Nikolaj Ehlers · Slap, 0.10 xG2–3
Penalties (3)
- P1 9:18WPGJansen Harkins: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 13:52LAKKale Clague: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 11:56WPGPierre-Luc Dubois: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Copp won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Kopitar – Kempe11:52
xG 0.58–0.21 (73%)attempts 18–7goals 0–0
- Grundstrom – Moore – Kupari11:21
xG 0.48–0.12 (81%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Lemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev7:31
xG 0.32–0.04 (89%)attempts 7–3goals 1–0
- Danault – Athanasiou – Iafallo13:09
xG 0.39–0.90 (30%)attempts 11–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Roy18:48
xG 0.93–0.47 (67%)attempts 26–11goals 0–0
- Anderson – Bjornfot18:43
xG 0.44–0.45 (50%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
- Maatta – Roy2:09
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestConnor – Svechnikov – Dubois8:24
xG 0.37–0.25 (60%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Connor – Dubois7:30
xG 0.21–0.12 (64%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Lowry – Copp – Harkins4:17
xG 0.13–0.05 (73%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Scheifele – Ehlers4:03
xG 0.15–0.20 (42%)attempts 6–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – Pionk17:12
xG 0.66–0.36 (65%)attempts 17–14goals 0–0
- DeMelo – Stanley13:15
xG 0.64–0.56 (53%)attempts 13–12goals 1–1
- Schmidt – Morrissey20:13
xG 0.19–0.76 (20%)attempts 9–18goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).