Sat, Nov 13, 2021·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Vancouver Canucks 4, Vegas Golden Knights 7
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 210 | 115 | 118 | 443 |
| VGK | 19 | 213 | 417 | 739 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:09VANJ.T. MillerAssists: Nils Hoglander · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 5:56VANTanner PearsonAssists: Conor Garland, Brad Hunt · Deflected, 0.17 xG2–0
- P1 19:46VGKEvgenii DadonovPPAssists: Chandler Stephenson, Shea Theodore · Backhand, 0.44 xG2–1
- P2 5:50VGKReilly SmithAssists: Jake Leschyshyn, Alex Pietrangelo · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- P2 10:51VGKBrayden McNabbAssists: Shea Theodore · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–3
- P2 17:15VANNils HoglanderUnassisted · Wrist, 0.36 xG3–3
- P3 2:20VGKJake LeschyshynAssists: Evgenii Dadonov, Keegan Kolesar · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–4
- P3 3:12VANNils HoglanderAssists: Tyler Myers, Quinn Hughes · Snap, 0.32 xG4–4
- P3 8:24VGKJonathan MarchessaultPPGWGAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Dylan Coghlan · Wrist, 0.05 xG4–5
- P3 14:04VGKEvgenii DadonovAssists: Mark Stone · Snap, 0.35 xG4–6
- P3 15:27VGKJonathan MarchessaultAssists: Reilly Smith, Chandler Stephenson · Snap, 0.25 xG4–7
Penalties (16)
- P1 3:55VGKMark Stone: High sticking2 min
- P1 10:11VANJason Dickinson: High sticking2 min
- P1 18:43VANOliver Ekman-Larsson: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 18:43VGKBrayden McNabb: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:43VANOliver Ekman-Larsson: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:09VANJustin Bailey: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:32VANAlex Chiasson: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:32VGKBrett Howden: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:22VGKChandler Stephenson: Slashing2 min
- P2 17:34VANNils Hoglander: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:51VGKMichael Amadio: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 19:42VANOliver Ekman-Larsson: Interference2 min
- P3 7:03VANThatcher Demko: Delaying game2 min · PPG
- P3 10:13VGKBrayden McNabb: Interference2 min
- P3 18:49VGKBen Hutton: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:49VANJason Dickinson: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Stephenson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestHorvat – Garland – Podkolzin10:28
xG 0.33–0.26 (56%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Boeser – Pettersson8:19
xG 0.47–0.52 (48%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Chiasson – Bailey – Lammikko6:07
xG 0.26–0.40 (39%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Miller – Pearson – Hoglander4:38
xG 0.42–0.70 (37%)attempts 7–4goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Hughes14:31
xG 1.84–0.84 (69%)attempts 19–10goals 2–1
- Ekman-Larsson – Burroughs11:56
xG 0.58–0.37 (61%)attempts 14–7goals 1–0
- Hunt – Bowey10:15
xG 0.40–0.90 (31%)attempts 9–13goals 0–2
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestAmadio – Howden – Rondbjerg6:10
xG 0.55–0.38 (59%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Dadonov – Stone – Stephenson8:44
xG 0.49–0.41 (54%)attempts 4–11goals 1–1
- Amadio – Kolesar – Leschyshyn2:27
xG 0.18–0.21 (46%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Smith – Marchessault – Roy9:24
xG 0.74–0.88 (46%)attempts 9–14goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Pietrangelo – Hague13:07
xG 1.20–1.18 (50%)attempts 17–21goals 2–1
- McNabb – Theodore14:11
xG 0.65–0.75 (46%)attempts 7–12goals 1–1
- Hutton – Coghlan6:00
xG 0.32–0.80 (28%)attempts 6–6goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VGK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VGK is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VGK − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).