Sun, Nov 14, 2021·TD Garden, Boston
Montréal Canadiens 2, Boston Bruins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 112 | 110 | 07 | 229 |
| BOS | 011 | 120 | 410 | 541 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:09MTLJoel ArmiaAssists: Artturi Lehkonen · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–0
- P2 8:27BOSCharlie McAvoyAssists: Taylor Hall, Jakub Zboril · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–1
- P2 16:25MTLMichael PezzettaAssists: Adam Brooks, Josh Anderson · Deflected, 0.07 xG2–1
- P3 2:14BOSCharlie McAvoyPPAssists: Brad Marchand · Snap, 0.08 xG2–2
- P3 5:58BOSCharlie CoyleGWGUnassisted · Deflected, 0.17 xG2–3
- P3 9:05BOSCharlie CoyleAssists: Jake DeBrusk, Oskar Steen · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–4
- P3 18:02BOSTaylor HallENAssists: David Pastrnak, Brandon Carlo · Wrist, 0.74 xG2–5
Penalties (6)
- P1 3:20MTLJosh Anderson: Cross checking2 min
- P1 15:35MTLJake Evans: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:23MTLBrendan Gallagher: Slashing2 min
- P1 18:59BOSBrad Marchand: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:25MTLJeff Petry: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 18:02MTLChris Wideman: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Haula won the faceoff against Evans
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestGallagher – Dvorak – Poehling9:32
xG 0.67–0.40 (62%)attempts 16–6goals 0–0
- Toffoli – Anderson – Suzuki12:31
xG 0.42–0.34 (55%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Belzile – Brooks – Pezzetta6:42
xG 0.11–0.07 (59%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Armia – Lehkonen – Evans11:47
xG 0.19–0.84 (18%)attempts 7–13goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Kulak13:45
xG 0.67–0.54 (55%)attempts 14–10goals 1–1
- Wideman – Romanov11:21
xG 0.21–0.33 (38%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Petry – Chiarot18:24
xG 0.53–0.85 (38%)attempts 15–17goals 1–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak11:41
xG 0.51–0.15 (77%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Nosek – DeBrusk – Steen10:05
xG 0.39–0.34 (54%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Foligno – Coyle – Hall11:21
xG 0.67–0.73 (48%)attempts 10–12goals 1–1
- Haula – Blidh – Kuhlman9:57
xG 0.03–0.26 (10%)attempts 1–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestZboril – McAvoy3:15
xG 0.50–0.11 (83%)attempts 8–2goals 1–0
- Grzelcyk – McAvoy2:21
xG 0.34–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Clifton – Zboril10:39
xG 0.48–0.31 (61%)attempts 12–9goals 1–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).