Sun, Nov 14, 2021·Madison Square Garden, New York
New Jersey Devils 3, New York Rangers 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 78% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 110 | 17 | 19 | 01 | 3 | 327 |
| NYR | 011 | 215 | 110 | 05 | 4 | 441 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:23NJDJesper BrattAssists: Dawson Mercer, P.K. Subban · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–0
- P2 3:11NYRAdam FoxUnassisted · Backhand, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 11:24NYRAlexis LafrenièreAssists: Jacob Trouba, Kaapo Kakko · Wrist, 0.28 xG1–2
- P2 13:20NJDDougie HamiltonPPAssists: Jesper Bratt, Pavel Zacha · Snap, 0.09 xG2–2
- P3 6:29NYRKaapo KakkoAssists: Ryan Strome · Wrist, 0.27 xG2–3
- P3 17:16NJDPavel ZachaAssists: Nico Hischier, Tomas Tatar · Wrist, 0.25 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. NJD Damon Severson stopped
- 2. NYR Mika Zibanejad stopped
- 3. NJD Jesper Bratt scored
- 4. NYR Kaapo Kakko scored
- 5. NJD Dougie Hamilton scored
- 6. NYR Artemi Panarin scored
- 7. NJD Dawson Mercer stopped
- 8. NYR Alexis Lafrenière stopped
- 9. NJD Andreas Johnsson scored
- 10. NYR Ryan Strome scored
- 11. NJD Tomas Tatar stopped
- 12. NYR Kevin Rooney stopped
- 13. NJD Pavel Zacha stopped
- 14. NYR Chris Kreider scored
Penalties (3)
- P2 5:02NJDP.K. Subban: Slashing2 min
- P2 9:20NJDJimmy Vesey: Slashing2 min
- P2 13:02NYRRyan Lindgren: Interference2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Strome won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestTatar – Zacha – Hischier13:26
xG 0.86–0.44 (66%)attempts 21–11goals 1–0
- Johnsson – Bratt – Mercer13:35
xG 0.49–0.58 (46%)attempts 9–12goals 1–1
- Vesey – Geertsen – McLeod5:37
xG 0.09–0.34 (21%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Kuokkanen – Boqvist – Sharangovich8:20
xG 0.15–0.69 (18%)attempts 6–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Hamilton – Graves17:12
xG 0.52–0.73 (42%)attempts 17–15goals 0–1
- Subban – Siegenthaler14:32
xG 0.21–0.48 (30%)attempts 9–12goals 1–1
- Severson – Smith17:27
xG 0.59–1.68 (26%)attempts 19–22goals 0–1
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Panarin – Kakko15:23
xG 1.18–0.45 (72%)attempts 21–12goals 1–0
- Goodrow – Gauthier – Lafrenière9:40
xG 0.61–0.33 (65%)attempts 8–12goals 1–0
- Reaves – Hunt – Rooney9:54
xG 0.36–0.12 (75%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Hunt3:16
xG 0.01–0.04 (24%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren21:15
xG 1.67–1.07 (61%)attempts 26–24goals 1–2
- Trouba – Miller15:39
xG 0.75–0.57 (57%)attempts 17–18goals 1–0
- Nemeth – Trouba2:22
xG 0.11–0.01 (93%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 78% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).