Sun, Nov 14, 2021·Honda Center, Anaheim
Vancouver Canucks 1, Anaheim Ducks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 92% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 17 | 011 | 09 | 127 |
| ANA | 113 | 211 | 214 | 538 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:29VANNils HoglanderAssists: Quinn Hughes, J.T. Miller · Snap, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 12:35ANATrevor ZegrasPPAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Jakob Silfverberg · Slap, 0.10 xG1–1
- P2 2:13ANATrevor ZegrasPPGWGAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Troy Terry · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–2
- P2 8:55ANASonny MilanoAssists: Trevor Zegras, Cam Fowler · Backhand, 0.07 xG1–3
- P3 19:02ANAAdam HenriqueENAssists: Ryan Getzlaf · Wrist, 0.76 xG1–4
- P3 19:23ANASam SteelAssists: Nicolas Deslauriers, Sam Carrick · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–5
Penalties (4)
- P1 4:05VANElias Pettersson: Hooking2 min
- P1 8:58VANJustin Bailey: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P2 1:12VANKyle Burroughs: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 19:17ANAHampus Lindholm: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Getzlaf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMiller – Pearson – Hoglander11:40
xG 0.75–0.63 (54%)attempts 11–16goals 1–0
- Horvat – Garland – Podkolzin7:29
xG 0.08–0.15 (34%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Motte – Bailey – Lammikko3:16
xG 0.07–0.26 (20%)attempts 1–4goals 0–1
- Motte – Horvat – Garland2:07
xG 0.08–0.28 (23%)attempts 2–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Myers – Ekman-Larsson2:35
xG 0.17–0.18 (48%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Hunt – Bowey12:21
xG 0.53–0.57 (48%)attempts 7–11goals 0–1
- Ekman-Larsson – Burroughs14:57
xG 0.44–0.53 (45%)attempts 14–13goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestDeslauriers – Milano – Zegras8:10
xG 0.53–0.07 (88%)attempts 7–4goals 1–0
- Grant – Carrick – Steel9:11
xG 0.63–0.20 (76%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Henrique – Terry13:07
xG 0.86–0.74 (54%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Silfverberg – Lundeström – McTavish8:45
xG 0.20–0.30 (41%)attempts 5–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Drysdale14:06
xG 1.09–0.46 (70%)attempts 21–7goals 0–0
- Shattenkirk – Benoit15:15
xG 0.93–0.69 (57%)attempts 13–16goals 1–0
- Fowler – Manson17:39
xG 0.73–0.60 (55%)attempts 16–17goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 92% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).