Wed, Nov 17, 2021·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Washington Capitals 2, Los Angeles Kings 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 09 | 011 | 218 | 238 |
| LAK | 014 | 07 | 013 | 034 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 16:30WSHGarnet HathawayGWGAssists: John Carlson, Evgeny Kuznetsov · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–0
- P3 18:42WSHGarnet HathawayENAssists: John Carlson · Wrist, 0.58 xG2–0
Penalties (7)
- P1 8:53WSHDmitry Orlov: Elbowing2 min
- P2 12:35LAKBlake Lizotte: High sticking2 min
- P2 13:50LAKPhillip Danault: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:50WSHTom Wilson: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:15WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov: Boarding2 min
- P2 18:15LAKPhillip Danault: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:13LAKTrevor Moore: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Kuznetsov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Washington Capitals
Forward lines
- bestHathaway – Sprong – Protas10:33
xG 0.73–0.55 (57%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Hagelin – Pilon – Leason7:41
xG 0.13–0.17 (42%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Wilson – Jonsson-Fjallby – McMichael10:32
xG 0.34–0.41 (46%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Sheary13:04
xG 0.32–0.72 (31%)attempts 9–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCarlson – Fehérváry16:15
xG 1.00–0.50 (66%)attempts 18–15goals 1–0
- Schultz – van Riemsdyk14:30
xG 0.44–0.10 (81%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
- Orlov – Jensen16:54
xG 0.22–1.36 (14%)attempts 9–20goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKempe – Moore – Kupari9:46
xG 0.77–0.48 (62%)attempts 15–10goals 0–1
- Brown – Kopitar – Arvidsson14:07
xG 0.45–0.35 (56%)attempts 8–15goals 0–0
- Danault – Athanasiou – Iafallo13:04
xG 0.45–0.36 (56%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Lemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev7:47
xG 0.44–0.41 (52%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAnderson – Bjornfot17:23
xG 0.73–0.45 (62%)attempts 15–16goals 0–0
- Edler – Roy16:29
xG 0.75–0.56 (57%)attempts 17–16goals 0–1
- Maatta – Clague13:20
xG 0.64–0.62 (51%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it WSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − WSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).