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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 18, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

New York Rangers 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 64% of the time.

TOR winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:06Shot by Gauthier, saved by Campbell
  3. P1 3:11Shot by Spezza, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 3:41Goal by Rielly (Simmonds, Bunting)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Brodie, Rielly, Bunting · NYR Reaves, Trouba, Hunt, Rooney, Miller

  5. P1 4:26Holl: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Holl, Engvall, Kase, Matthews · NYR Kreider, Nemeth, Zibanejad, Goodrow, Lundkvist

  6. P1 6:36Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 13:11Shot by Chytil, saved by Campbell
  8. P1 13:11Shot by Gauthier, saved by Campbell
  9. P1 13:48Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Campbell
  10. P1 13:54Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Campbell
  11. P1 14:32Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Campbell
  12. P1 15:25Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 16:09Shot by Marner, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 19:15Shot by Gauthier, saved by Campbell
  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 2:03Shot by Kase, saved by Shesterkin
  18. P2 2:38Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Shesterkin
  19. P2 3:02Shot by Spezza, saved by Shesterkin
  20. P2 5:55Shot by Trouba, saved by Campbell
  21. P2 7:31Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin
  22. P2 7:55Shot by Marner, saved by Shesterkin
  23. P2 8:20Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P2 8:42Shot by Gauthier, saved by Campbell
  25. P2 9:20Hunt: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Simmonds, Holl, Bunting · NYR Reaves, Nemeth, Hunt, Rooney, Lundkvist

  26. P2 9:47Shot by Rooney, saved by Campbell5v4
  27. P2 9:53Shot by Trouba, saved by Campbell5v4
  28. P2 10:59Goal by Rielly (Matthews, Tavares)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · NYR Kreider, Nemeth, Zibanejad, Trouba

  29. P2 12:38Bunting: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · NYR Strome, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Kakko

  30. P2 12:38Strome: Elbowing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · NYR Strome, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Kakko

  31. P2 13:53Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  32. P2 14:15Shot by Miller, saved by Campbell4v4
  33. P2 15:00Shot by Engvall, saved by Shesterkin
  34. P2 15:48Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  35. P2 17:03Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 18:51Shot by Gauthier, saved by Campbell
  37. P2 19:19Shot by Panarin, saved by Campbell
  38. P2 19:35Shot by Kampf, saved by Shesterkin
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 0:13Shot by Ritchie, saved by Shesterkin
  42. P3 0:47Shot by Kampf, saved by Shesterkin
  43. P3 0:54Shot by Kase, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P3 1:37Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P3 1:55Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  46. P3 1:59Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  47. P3 3:30Goal by Hunt (Strome, Kakko)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · NYR Strome, Trouba, Hunt, Miller, Kakko

  48. P3 4:00Shot by Trouba, saved by Campbell
  49. P3 4:26Shot by Trouba, saved by Campbell
  50. P3 4:31Shot by Panarin, saved by Campbell
  51. P3 4:51Shot by Goodrow, saved by Campbell
  52. P3 5:07Shot by Goodrow, saved by Campbell
  53. P3 6:40Shot by Bunting, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P3 6:46Shot by Muzzin, saved by Shesterkin
  55. P3 6:57Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Campbell
  56. P3 7:21Shot by Ritchie, saved by Shesterkin
  57. P3 7:35Shot by Dermott, saved by Shesterkin
  58. P3 8:04Shot by Panarin, saved by Campbell
  59. P3 8:08Shot by Lindgren, saved by Campbell
  60. P3 11:12Shot by Ritchie, saved by Shesterkin
  61. P3 11:24Shot by Marner, saved by Shesterkin
  62. P3 13:30Shot by Kreider, saved by Campbell
  63. P3 15:10Shot by Kampf, saved by Shesterkin
  64. P3 16:31Shot by Panarin, saved by Campbell
  65. P3 17:03Shot by Kreider, saved by Campbell
  66. P3 18:26Shot by Trouba, saved by Campbell5v6
  67. P3 19:59Shot by Strome, saved by Campbell5v6
  68. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  69. P3 0:00Final