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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 20, 2022·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

New York Rangers 2, Ottawa Senators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 56% of the time.

OTT winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by Kreider, saved by Gustavsson
  3. P1 1:36Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 3:29Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Gustavsson
  5. P1 4:52Goal by Stützle (Gaudette, Zaitsev)+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Holden, Gaudette, Zaitsev, Formenton, Stützle · NYR Trouba, Hunt, Gauthier, Chytil, Miller

  6. P1 5:11Shot by Trouba, saved by Gustavsson
  7. P1 7:27Goal by Strome (Schneider, Panarin)+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ennis, Tierney, Formenton, Brannstrom, Zub · NYR Nemeth, Strome, Goodrow, Panarin, Schneider

  8. P1 11:17Shot by Gaudette, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 13:06Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Gustavsson
  10. P1 13:24Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Gustavsson
  11. P1 14:20Shot by Holden, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 14:41Shot by Kelly, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 15:11Shot by Gaudette, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 16:38Shot by Brown, saved by Shesterkin
  15. P1 17:10Shot by Nemeth, saved by Gustavsson
  16. P1 17:48Shot by Zub, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:25Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Gustavsson
  20. P2 3:17Shot by Kreider, saved by Gustavsson
  21. P2 3:56Shot by Sanford, saved by Shesterkin
  22. P2 4:43Shot by Panarin, saved by Gustavsson
  23. P2 7:48Shot by Goodrow, saved by Gustavsson
  24. P2 7:48Zaitsev: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Brown, Paul, Mete, Zaitsev, Tkachuk · NYR Strome, Goodrow, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren

  25. P2 7:58Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  26. P2 8:00Shot by Kreider, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  27. P2 8:38Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  28. P2 9:14Goal by Panarin (Zibanejad, Strome)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Holden, Brown, Mete, Formenton · NYR Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox

  29. P2 9:24Shot by Rooney, saved by Gustavsson
  30. P2 9:57Shot by Stützle, saved by Shesterkin
  31. P2 11:03Shot by Chytil, saved by Gustavsson
  32. P2 13:14Shot by Goodrow, saved by Gustavsson
  33. P2 13:51Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin
  34. P2 14:30Shot by Fox, saved by Gustavsson
  35. P2 14:35Shot by Fox, saved by Gustavsson
  36. P2 15:23Shot by Trouba, saved by Gustavsson
  37. P2 16:34Shot by Zub, saved by Shesterkin
  38. P2 16:48Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin
  39. P2 16:59Shot by Brown, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 18:56Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Shesterkin
  41. P2 19:32Shot by Kreider, saved by Gustavsson
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:12Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P3 1:29Shot by Strome, saved by Gustavsson
  46. P3 2:16Shot by Tierney, saved by Shesterkin
  47. P3 2:29Shot by Chytil, saved by Gustavsson
  48. P3 2:53Shot by Kelly, saved by Shesterkin
  49. P3 3:05Shot by Rooney, saved by Gustavsson
  50. P3 3:43Shot by Miller, saved by Gustavsson
  51. P3 4:18Shot by Lindgren, saved by Gustavsson
  52. P3 5:28Shot by Gauthier, saved by Gustavsson
  53. P3 5:47Shot by Formenton, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P3 6:45Shot by Kelly, saved by Shesterkin
  55. P3 6:59Trouba: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Holden, Ennis, Tierney, Zaitsev, Kelly · NYR Reaves, Trouba, Hunt, Chytil, Miller

  56. P3 7:26Shot by Stützle, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  57. P3 8:26Shot by Paul, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  58. P3 8:27Shot by Stützle, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  59. P3 8:28Shot by Paul, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  60. P3 8:38Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  61. P3 9:11Shot by Fox, saved by Gustavsson
  62. P3 11:34Shot by Lindgren, saved by Gustavsson
  63. P3 13:23Shot by Formenton, saved by Shesterkin
  64. P3 13:30Shot by Ennis, saved by Shesterkin
  65. P3 13:35Shot by Ennis, saved by Shesterkin
  66. P3 15:12Shot by Goodrow, saved by Gustavsson
  67. P3 15:45Paul: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Brown, Paul, Sanford, Brannstrom, Zub · NYR Strome, Trouba, Panarin, Rooney, Miller

  68. P3 17:20Shot by Strome, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  69. P3 17:28Shot by Fox, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  70. P3 19:01Shot by Brown, saved by Shesterkin6v5
  71. P3 19:52Shot by Brown, saved by Shesterkin6v5
  72. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  73. P3 0:00Final