Sat, Nov 20, 2021·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Vegas Golden Knights 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 213 | 08 | 08 | 229 |
| VGK | 07 | 114 | 214 | 335 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:45CBJGustav NyquistAssists: Jake Bean, Zach Werenski · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 8:42CBJAlexandre TexierSHAssists: Jake Bean, Zach Werenski · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–0
- P2 7:07VGKKeegan KolesarAssists: Jake Leschyshyn · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–1
- P3 4:45VGKReilly SmithSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.30 xG2–2
- P3 13:53VGKMattias JanmarkGWGAssists: Nicolas Hague, Keegan Kolesar · Backhand, 0.10 xG2–3
Penalties (10)
- P1 7:40CBJOliver Bjorkstrand: Interference2 min
- P2 1:28VGKNicolas Hague: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 14:01VGKBen Jones: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:52CBJAndrew Peeke: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 4:20VGKKeegan Kolesar: Tripping2 min
- P3 10:10VGKNicolas Hague: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:16CBJZach Werenski: Cross checking2 min
- P3 13:53CBJMax Domi: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P3 15:44VGKNicolas Hague: Slashing2 min
- P3 15:44CBJAlexandre Texier: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stephenson won the faceoff against Jenner
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestDomi – Roslovic – Danforth5:10
xG 0.16–0.03 (83%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Texier – Robinson7:02
xG 0.23–0.37 (38%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Voracek – Chinakhov – Sillinger9:18
xG 0.10–0.40 (20%)attempts 5–12goals 0–0
- Nyquist – Jenner – Bjorkstrand10:48
xG 0.46–0.79 (37%)attempts 15–16goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Werenski – Boqvist2:46
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Bayreuther – Boqvist5:20
xG 0.22–0.38 (36%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Werenski – Bean12:26
xG 0.44–0.62 (42%)attempts 13–10goals 1–0
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestHowden – Rondbjerg – Cotter4:45
xG 0.41–0.04 (90%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Smith – Janmark – Roy10:06
xG 0.48–0.28 (63%)attempts 16–7goals 0–0
- Dadonov – Stone – Stephenson10:35
xG 0.46–0.29 (61%)attempts 14–11goals 0–1
- Kolesar – Leschyshyn – Jones3:53
xG 0.29–0.20 (59%)attempts 3–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestHutton – Coghlan7:25
xG 0.68–0.09 (88%)attempts 17–2goals 0–0
- McNabb – Whitecloud7:30
xG 0.52–0.08 (86%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Hutton – Whitecloud4:24
xG 0.15–0.04 (80%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VGK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VGK is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VGK − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).