Mon, Nov 22, 2021·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Vegas Golden Knights 2, St. Louis Blues 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 211 | 07 | 016 | 234 |
| STL | 313 | 113 | 15 | 531 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:36VGKChandler StephensonAssists: Alex Pietrangelo · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–0
- P1 6:50VGKReilly SmithAssists: Ben Hutton · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–0
- P1 10:15STLRyan O'ReillyAssists: David Perron, Colton Parayko · Snap, 0.06 xG2–1
- P1 11:57STLTyler BozakAssists: Klim Kostin, Justin Faulk · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–2
- P1 12:30STLJustin FaulkGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–3
- P2 1:28STLBrandon SaadPPAssists: Vladimir Tarasenko, David Perron · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–4
- P3 9:37STLNiko MikkolaAssists: Robert Thomas, Vladimir Tarasenko · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–5
Penalties (5)
- P1 14:25VGKMattias Janmark: Holding2 min
- P2 1:19VGKBen Hutton: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P2 15:59STLOskar Sundqvist: Illegal check to head2 min
- P3 2:04STLJustin Faulk: Cross checking2 min
- P3 15:04STLPavel Buchnevich: Interference goalkeeper2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Barbashev won the faceoff against Stephenson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestKolesar – Brooks – Rondbjerg8:12
xG 0.62–0.07 (90%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Smith – Janmark – Roy13:46
xG 0.76–0.62 (55%)attempts 16–8goals 1–1
- Dadonov – Stone – Stephenson12:38
xG 0.43–0.41 (51%)attempts 7–8goals 1–1
- Leschyshyn – Jones – Cotter8:57
xG 0.27–0.39 (41%)attempts 8–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestPietrangelo – Theodore4:02
xG 0.21–0.08 (72%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Pietrangelo – Hague13:19
xG 0.35–0.41 (46%)attempts 8–10goals 1–1
- Hutton – Whitecloud16:24
xG 0.59–0.77 (43%)attempts 14–15goals 1–2
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestPerron – O'Reilly – Kyrou12:14
xG 0.50–0.09 (84%)attempts 10–3goals 1–0
- Neal – Bozak – Kostin7:26
xG 0.42–0.10 (80%)attempts 9–4goals 1–0
- Tarasenko – Buchnevich – Thomas9:56
xG 0.38–0.31 (55%)attempts 8–10goals 1–1
- Saad – Sundqvist – Barbashev10:10
xG 0.20–0.42 (32%)attempts 7–7goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestFaulk – Krug13:16
xG 0.84–0.50 (63%)attempts 15–10goals 2–1
- Mikkola – Perunovich10:14
xG 0.29–0.12 (71%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Parayko – Perunovich4:32
xG 0.27–0.14 (66%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it VGK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − VGK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).