Wed, Nov 24, 2021·UBS Arena, Elmont
New York Rangers 4, New York Islanders 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 08 | 27 | 26 | 421 |
| NYI | 08 | 08 | 15 | 121 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 0:29NYRChris KreiderPPAssists: Ryan Strome, Adam Fox · Tip-in, 0.14 xG1–0
- P2 14:28NYRKevin RooneyGWGAssists: Barclay Goodrow, Ryan Reaves · Tip-in, 0.22 xG2–0
- P3 3:52NYIAndy AndreoffAssists: Otto Koivula, Sebastian Aho · Tip-in, 0.05 xG2–1
- P3 4:12NYRKevin RooneyAssists: Ryan Reaves, Patrik Nemeth · Snap, 0.21 xG3–1
- P3 11:02NYRChris KreiderAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Kaapo Kakko · Snap, 0.13 xG4–1
Penalties (15)
- P1 1:23NYIKyle Palmieri: Slashing2 min
- P1 3:57NYRBarclay Goodrow: High sticking2 min
- P1 15:05NYRAdam Fox: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:12NYIMathew Barzal: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:06NYIMathew Barzal: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 2:28NYRRyan Strome: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:30NYRFilip Chytil: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:44NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau: High sticking2 min
- P2 17:39NYRRyan Strome: Interference2 min
- P3 13:37NYRAdam Fox: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:09NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:09NYRAlexis Lafrenière: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:46NYRDryden Hunt: Slashing2 min
- P3 19:46NYIOliver Wahlstrom: Slashing2 min
- P3 19:46NYIOliver Wahlstrom: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Cizikas won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Zibanejad – Kakko7:18
xG 0.55–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Reaves – Goodrow – Rooney8:22
xG 0.52–0.01 (97%)attempts 6–5goals 2–0
- Gauthier – Chytil – Lafrenière7:56
xG 0.24–0.19 (56%)attempts 6–4goals 0–1
- Strome – Hunt – Panarin9:54
xG 0.01–0.29 (4%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestNemeth – Lundkvist10:03
xG 0.80–0.21 (79%)attempts 11–3goals 1–0
- Fox – Lindgren13:10
xG 0.72–0.48 (60%)attempts 9–11goals 2–1
- Trouba – Miller13:06
xG 0.17–0.05 (77%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestParise – Panik – Barzal7:33
xG 0.23–0.16 (60%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas8:24
xG 0.10–0.12 (46%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Andreoff – Koivula – Wahlstrom4:54
xG 0.07–0.38 (15%)attempts 4–3goals 1–1
- Palmieri – Pageau – Beauvillier9:17
xG 0.16–0.67 (19%)attempts 5–9goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestAho – Hutton10:27
xG 0.15–0.08 (66%)attempts 6–4goals 1–0
- Hickey – Hutton3:11
xG 0.02–0.16 (9%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Hickey – LaDue9:52
xG 0.16–0.56 (23%)attempts 6–7goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).