Wed, Nov 24, 2021·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Winnipeg Jets 0, Columbus Blue Jackets 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 015 | 08 | 013 | 036 |
| CBJ | 113 | 010 | 29 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:09CBJGregory HofmannGWGAssists: Max Domi · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P3 6:49CBJZach WerenskiPPAssists: Jakub Voracek, Adam Boqvist · Snap, 0.06 xG0–2
- P3 16:27CBJAndrew PeekeENAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, Alexandre Texier · Wrist, 0.47 xG0–3
Penalties (9)
- P1 4:43CBJElvis Merzlikins: Tripping2 min
- P1 12:22WPGBrenden Dillon: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:37CBJSean Kuraly: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 2:20CBJMax Domi: Roughing2 min
- P3 2:20CBJMax Domi: Roughing2 min
- P3 2:20WPGEvgeny Svechnikov: Slashing2 min
- P3 6:06WPGRiley Nash: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P3 9:26CBJMax Domi: Roughing2 min
- P3 16:27WPGJosh Morrissey: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Dubois
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestEhlers – Connor – Dubois4:22
xG 0.27–0.09 (75%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Nash – Toninato – Vesalainen5:23
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Scheifele – Copp5:49
xG 0.29–0.18 (62%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Scheifele – Copp – Ehlers7:36
xG 0.33–0.28 (54%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – Pionk17:25
xG 0.65–0.58 (53%)attempts 11–14goals 0–0
- Schmidt – Morrissey14:12
xG 0.57–0.64 (47%)attempts 19–8goals 0–1
- DeMelo – Stanley11:41
xG 0.41–0.57 (42%)attempts 15–10goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestVoracek – Chinakhov – Sillinger10:16
xG 0.58–0.28 (68%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Hofmann – Domi – Roslovic8:08
xG 0.25–0.23 (52%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Nyquist – Jenner – Bjorkstrand11:11
xG 0.27–0.66 (29%)attempts 5–16goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Texier – Robinson10:05
xG 0.06–0.45 (12%)attempts 2–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBayreuther – Boqvist11:31
xG 0.48–0.34 (59%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Peeke13:33
xG 0.63–0.53 (54%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Werenski – Bean17:58
xG 0.54–0.96 (36%)attempts 9–24goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).