Fri, Nov 26, 2021·TD Garden, Boston
New York Rangers 5, Boston Bruins 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 15 | 119 | 37 | 531 |
| BOS | 117 | 112 | 07 | 236 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:46BOSCraig SmithUnassisted · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 19:54NYRRyan StromeAssists: Artemi Panarin, Dryden Hunt · Snap, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 6:51BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Matt Grzelcyk, Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–2
- P2 12:33NYRDryden HuntAssists: Ryan Lindgren, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–2
- P3 11:35NYRArtemi PanarinGWGAssists: Julien Gauthier, Ryan Strome · Snap, 0.23 xG3–2
- P3 16:22NYRAlexis LafrenièreAssists: Julien Gauthier, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.11 xG4–2
- P3 19:23NYRJacob TroubaENAssists: Patrik Nemeth · Wrist, 0.42 xG5–2
Penalties (9)
- P1 6:25BOSDavid Pastrnak: High sticking2 min
- P1 10:55NYRChris Kreider: Interference2 min
- P1 12:45NYRAdam Fox: High sticking2 min
- P2 0:17BOSBrad Marchand: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:37NYRArtemi Panarin: High sticking2 min
- P3 19:03NYRBarclay Goodrow: Cross checking2 min
- P3 19:03BOSCharlie McAvoy: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:48BOSBrad Marchand: Misconduct10 min
- P3 19:48NYRArtemi Panarin: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestGauthier – Chytil – Lafrenière8:01
xG 0.55–0.12 (82%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
- Strome – Hunt – Panarin10:25
xG 0.47–0.41 (53%)attempts 9–9goals 2–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Kakko11:41
xG 0.62–0.58 (52%)attempts 5–14goals 0–0
- Reaves – Goodrow – Rooney7:31
xG 0.01–0.27 (4%)attempts 2–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren17:37
xG 0.92–0.31 (75%)attempts 11–19goals 3–0
- Nemeth – Lundkvist8:04
xG 0.38–0.27 (58%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Trouba – Miller15:30
xG 0.21–0.82 (21%)attempts 7–15goals 0–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak11:53
xG 0.72–0.38 (65%)attempts 18–5goals 1–0
- Foligno – Coyle – Hall11:12
xG 0.37–0.22 (62%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Smith – Nosek – DeBrusk10:16
xG 0.42–0.44 (49%)attempts 11–7goals 0–1
- Haula – Blidh – Lazar7:21
xG 0.05–0.26 (15%)attempts 4–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Reilly – Zboril14:15
xG 0.36–0.35 (50%)attempts 12–8goals 0–1
- Grzelcyk – McAvoy15:36
xG 0.67–0.77 (47%)attempts 17–9goals 1–0
- Forbort – Carlo11:51
xG 0.29–0.74 (28%)attempts 12–11goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).