Sat, Nov 27, 2021·FLA Live Arena, Sunrise
Seattle Kraken 4, Florida Panthers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 29 | 07 | 211 | 427 |
| FLA | 114 | 013 | 07 | 134 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:22SEAJordan EberlePPAssists: Joonas Donskoi, Vince Dunn · Slap, 0.23 xG1–0
- P1 6:59FLAPatric HornqvistAssists: MacKenzie Weegar, Joe Thornton · Tip-in, 0.07 xG1–1
- P1 10:40SEARyan DonatoGWGAssists: Jamie Oleksiak, Joonas Donskoi · Slap, 0.21 xG2–1
- P3 5:57SEAJordan EberleAssists: Yanni Gourde · Backhand, 0.14 xG3–1
- P3 16:35SEAJamie OleksiakENAssists: Carson Soucy · Wrist, 0.42 xG4–1
Penalties (5)
- P1 0:25FLAGustav Forsling: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 7:19FLARyan Lomberg: Roughing2 min
- P1 7:19SEAWill Borgen: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:18FLABrandon Montour: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:31SEAJamie Oleksiak: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Wennberg won the faceoff against Bennett
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Schwartz – Gourde8:52
xG 0.63–0.31 (67%)attempts 7–11goals 1–0
- McCann – Tanev – Geekie7:54
xG 0.49–0.17 (74%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Sheahan – Donskoi – Donato8:36
xG 0.32–0.66 (32%)attempts 4–14goals 1–1
- Johansson – Wennberg – Appleton10:56
xG 0.24–0.64 (27%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Soucy17:35
xG 0.79–0.68 (54%)attempts 12–18goals 2–0
- Fleury – Borgen11:38
xG 0.33–0.38 (47%)attempts 9–17goals 0–0
- Larsson – Dunn17:23
xG 0.56–0.91 (38%)attempts 13–17goals 0–1
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestHuberdeau – Bennett – Tippett7:18
xG 0.46–0.04 (92%)attempts 11–1goals 0–0
- Hornqvist – Vatrano – Luostarinen2:39
xG 0.35–0.10 (77%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Thornton – Lomberg – Mamin2:56
xG 0.10–0.04 (70%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Verhaeghe – Reinhart – Luostarinen4:23
xG 0.18–0.14 (56%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWeegar – Montour3:11
xG 0.20–0.04 (81%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Weegar – Ekblad14:37
xG 0.56–0.43 (56%)attempts 17–12goals 0–0
- Gudas – Carlsson2:38
xG 0.02–0.06 (29%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).