Sun, Nov 28, 2021·TD Garden, Boston
Vancouver Canucks 2, Boston Bruins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 110 | 117 | 011 | 238 |
| BOS | 111 | 013 | 218 | 342 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:33VANTanner PearsonPPAssists: Brock Boeser, Nils Hoglander · Tip-in, 0.30 xG1–0
- P1 5:51BOSAnton BlidhUnassisted · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P2 12:31VANConor GarlandUnassisted · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–1
- P3 8:45BOSBrad MarchandPPAssists: Nick Foligno, Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.31 xG2–2
- P3 16:36BOSDavid PastrnakPPGWGAssists: Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 1:49BOSJakub Zboril: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 10:14VANConor Garland: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 15:44BOSTomas Nosek: High sticking2 min
- P2 6:54BOSBrad Marchand: Slashing2 min
- P3 3:51BOSMatt Grzelcyk: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:21VANNils Hoglander: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 15:23VANOliver Ekman-Larsson: Boarding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Nosek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestDowling – Pettersson – Podkolzin5:40
xG 0.10–0.05 (68%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Pearson – Horvat – Garland8:07
xG 0.47–0.43 (52%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Chiasson – Motte – Dickinson6:17
xG 0.14–0.15 (49%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Miller – Boeser – Hoglander10:00
xG 0.17–0.45 (27%)attempts 5–17goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Myers – Hughes2:07
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Burroughs – Poolman7:16
xG 0.14–0.16 (47%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Schenn – Hughes6:41
xG 0.49–0.54 (47%)attempts 8–13goals 0–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Frederic – Kuhlman7:39
xG 0.92–0.42 (69%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak10:04
xG 0.43–0.12 (78%)attempts 20–6goals 0–0
- Smith – Coyle – Hall9:38
xG 0.25–0.08 (76%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Blidh – Lazar – Nosek4:37
xG 0.08–0.17 (32%)attempts 2–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestForbort – McAvoy11:40
xG 0.51–0.20 (72%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – McAvoy4:58
xG 0.35–0.07 (83%)attempts 11–1goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo11:25
xG 0.75–0.55 (57%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).