Sun, Nov 28, 2021·Prudential Center, Newark
Philadelphia Flyers 2, New Jersey Devils 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 19 | 09 | 17 | 225 |
| NJD | 17 | 114 | 314 | 535 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:07NJDDougie HamiltonAssists: Andreas Johnsson, Jesper Bratt · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 17:03PHIScott LaughtonSHAssists: Ivan Provorov, Sean Couturier · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 1:47NJDAndreas JohnssonAssists: Jesper Bratt · Snap, 0.15 xG1–2
- P3 3:04PHIJoel FarabeeAssists: Scott Laughton · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–2
- P3 11:57NJDJesper BrattGWGAssists: Andreas Johnsson · Backhand, 0.16 xG2–3
- P3 14:14NJDNathan BastianAssists: Dougie Hamilton, Michael McLeod · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–4
- P3 17:04NJDAndreas JohnssonENAssists: Dawson Mercer · Snap, 0.51 xG2–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 14:13NJDRyan Graves: Interference2 min
- P1 15:53PHIJoel Farabee: Hooking2 min
- P2 6:06PHIZack MacEwen: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:06NJDMason Geertsen: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:56NJDRyan Graves: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 0:00PHIJustin Braun: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:44PHICam Atkinson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 8:32NJDJimmy Vesey: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Giroux won the faceoff against McLeod
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- van Riemsdyk – Laughton – Lindblom8:35
xG 0.15–0.14 (51%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Giroux – Couturier – Konecny9:31
xG 0.55–0.63 (46%)attempts 16–9goals 0–2
- Atkinson – Frost – Farabee8:13
xG 0.07–0.22 (23%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Willman – Bunnaman – MacEwen6:59
xG 0.13–0.61 (18%)attempts 3–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Braun – Seeler2:37
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Yandle – Provorov3:02
xG 0.10–0.24 (29%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
- Yandle – Seeler7:32
xG 0.16–0.35 (32%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestJohnsson – Bratt – Mercer8:49
xG 1.18–0.36 (76%)attempts 15–9goals 2–0
- Tatar – Kuokkanen – Sharangovich9:04
xG 0.46–0.24 (66%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Geertsen – Bastian – McLeod4:36
xG 0.10–0.01 (88%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Vesey – Zacha – Hischier10:54
xG 0.31–0.42 (43%)attempts 13–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHamilton – Graves13:16
xG 1.23–0.56 (69%)attempts 22–13goals 2–1
- Severson – Siegenthaler13:23
xG 0.39–0.40 (49%)attempts 16–12goals 0–0
- Subban – Smith13:10
xG 0.29–0.41 (42%)attempts 13–13goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).