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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 28, 2021·Honda Center, Anaheim

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Anaheim Ducks 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 70% of the time.

ANA winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:16Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Campbell
  3. P1 0:31Shot by Holl, saved by Gibson
  4. P1 1:33Shot by Brodie, saved by Gibson
  5. P1 2:10Shot by Zegras, saved by Campbell
  6. P1 2:18Shot by Zegras, saved by Campbell
  7. P1 2:57Shot by Manson, saved by Campbell
  8. P1 4:04Shot by Steel, saved by Campbell
  9. P1 4:14Shot by Lindholm, saved by Campbell
  10. P1 4:56Shot by Zegras, saved by Campbell
  11. P1 7:35Shot by Rielly, saved by Gibson
  12. P1 7:43Shot by Rielly, saved by Gibson
  13. P1 7:58Shot by Lundeström, saved by Campbell
  14. P1 8:25Shot by Zegras, saved by Campbell
  15. P1 9:04Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Campbell
  16. P1 9:32Shot by Ritchie, saved by Gibson
  17. P1 10:28Shot by Tavares, saved by Gibson
  18. P1 10:29Shot by Tavares, saved by Gibson
  19. P1 10:53Shot by Henrique, saved by Campbell
  20. P1 12:20Shot by Simmonds, saved by Gibson
  21. P1 12:45Shot by Zegras, saved by Campbell
  22. P1 16:39Shot by Henrique, saved by Campbell
  23. P1 17:32Shot by Bunting, saved by Gibson
  24. P1 18:15Shot by Marner, saved by Gibson
  25. P1 19:46Shot by Milano, saved by Campbell
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 2:03Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Campbell
  29. P2 3:25Shot by Rielly, saved by Gibson
  30. P2 4:26Shot by Matthews, saved by Gibson
  31. P2 5:06Shot by Tavares, saved by Gibson
  32. P2 6:48Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Campbell
  33. P2 7:01Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Campbell
  34. P2 7:41Shot by Bunting, saved by Gibson
  35. P2 7:48Goal by Matthews (Brodie, Bunting)+20 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Lindholm, Milano, Terry, Zegras, Drysdale · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  36. P2 8:42Spezza: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Shattenkirk, Carrick, Steel, Lundeström, Benoit · TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Brodie, Dermott, Kampf

  37. P2 10:17Shot by Henrique, saved by Campbell5v4
  38. P2 11:03Goal by Bunting (Marner, Muzzin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Rakell, Lindholm, Steel, Lundeström, Drysdale · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  39. P2 11:43Shot by Nylander, saved by Gibson
  40. P2 11:44Shot by Nylander, saved by Gibson
  41. P2 14:31Shot by Rielly, saved by Gibson
  42. P2 17:33Shot by Henrique, saved by Campbell
  43. P2 18:24Shot by Manson, saved by Campbell
  44. P2 19:52Shot by Rielly, saved by Gibson
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:13Goal by Kerfoot (Nylander, Tavares)+6 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Getzlaf, Henrique, Fowler, Manson, Terry · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander

  48. P3 0:51Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Gibson
  49. P3 2:21Zegras: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: ANA Shattenkirk, Rakell, Milano, Benoit, Zegras · TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Ritchie, Dermott, Matthews, Sandin

  50. P3 2:31Shot by Fowler, saved by Campbell4v5
  51. P3 3:56Shot by Nylander, saved by Gibson4v5
  52. P3 4:05Shot by Grant, saved by Campbell4v5
  53. P3 4:17Shot by Tavares, saved by Gibson4v5
  54. P3 5:46Shot by Rakell, saved by Campbell
  55. P3 6:14Shot by Zegras, saved by Campbell
  56. P3 6:40Shot by Marner, saved by Gibson
  57. P3 7:16Shot by Lindholm, saved by Campbell
  58. P3 7:25Shot by Lindholm, saved by Campbell
  59. P3 7:26Goal by Lindholm (Getzlaf)+4 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Getzlaf, Henrique, Manson, Lindholm, Terry · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews

  60. P3 7:57Shot by Rakell, saved by Campbell
  61. P3 8:02Shot by Manson, saved by Campbell
  62. P3 9:26Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Campbell
  63. P3 10:15Shot by Zegras, saved by Campbell
  64. P3 11:06Shot by Carrick, saved by Campbell
  65. P3 12:47Shot by Lindholm, saved by Campbell
  66. P3 13:09Shot by Simmonds, saved by Gibson
  67. P3 13:23Shot by Matthews, saved by Gibson
  68. P3 15:31Shot by Steel, saved by Campbell
  69. P3 16:22Shot by Rakell, saved by Campbell
  70. P3 16:28Shot by Henrique, saved by Campbell6v5
  71. P3 16:31Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Campbell6v5
  72. P3 16:53Goal by Nylander (Kerfoot, Tavares)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Getzlaf, Shattenkirk, Henrique, Rakell, Terry, Zegras · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander

  73. P3 17:08Shot by Engvall, saved by Gibson
  74. P3 17:08Goal by Simmonds (Engvall)0 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Shattenkirk, Grant, Deslauriers, Carrick, Benoit · TOR Simmonds, Engvall, Dermott, Kampf, Sandin

  75. P3 17:41Shot by Drysdale, saved by Campbell
  76. P3 17:59Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Campbell
  77. P3 18:59Shot by Engvall, saved by Gibson
  78. P3 19:59Shot by Zegras, saved by Campbell
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final