Tue, Nov 30, 2021·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Columbus Blue Jackets 0, Nashville Predators 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 09 | 014 | 04 | 027 |
| NSH | 314 | 214 | 19 | 637 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:56NSHFilip ForsbergGWGAssists: Mikael Granlund, Matt Duchene · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 12:43NSHYakov TreninAssists: Colton Sissons, Tanner Jeannot · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–2
- P1 12:52NSHFilip ForsbergAssists: Mikael Granlund · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–3
- P2 15:26NSHFilip ForsbergAssists: Mikael Granlund, Matt Duchene · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–4
- P2 19:54NSHFilip ForsbergPPAssists: Mikael Granlund, Ryan Johansen · Backhand, 0.16 xG0–5
- P3 7:15NSHNick CousinsAssists: Philip Tomasino, Tommy Novak · Backhand, 0.05 xG0–6
Penalties (12)
- P1 9:55CBJEgor Chinakhov: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:38NSHAlexandre Carrier: High sticking2 min
- P2 18:18CBJAdam Boqvist: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 0:40CBJGavin Bayreuther: Fighting5 min
- P3 0:40NSHTanner Jeannot: Fighting5 min
- P3 0:40CBJMax Domi: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:40NSHYakov Trenin: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:47NSHMark Borowiecki: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:47CBJEric Robinson: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:47CBJSean Kuraly: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:00CBJCole Sillinger: High sticking2 min
- P3 19:18NSHMatt Benning: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuraly won the faceoff against Sissons
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestVoracek – Chinakhov – Sillinger6:55
xG 0.55–0.17 (76%)attempts 11–5goals 0–1
- Kuraly – Danforth – Robinson4:23
xG 0.34–0.12 (74%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Texier – Robinson6:54
xG 0.06–0.15 (28%)attempts 5–2goals 0–1
- Domi – Roslovic – Chinakhov3:18
xG 0.24–0.40 (37%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Gavrikov – Bean11:04
xG 0.34–0.48 (41%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Peeke2:15
xG 0.07–0.30 (18%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Werenski – Boqvist13:01
xG 0.64–0.92 (41%)attempts 20–13goals 0–2
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestCousins – Novak – Tomasino9:57
xG 0.70–0.09 (89%)attempts 11–6goals 1–0
- Duchene – Granlund – Forsberg13:14
xG 1.16–0.64 (64%)attempts 17–11goals 3–0
- Johansen – Kunin – Tolvanen12:18
xG 0.24–0.22 (52%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Sissons – Trenin – Jeannot9:54
xG 0.20–0.59 (25%)attempts 7–14goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestEkholm – Carrier17:56
xG 1.38–0.30 (82%)attempts 22–10goals 3–0
- Borowiecki – Benning12:19
xG 0.80–0.42 (66%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
- Josi – Fabbro16:20
xG 0.33–0.73 (31%)attempts 8–18goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NSH is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NSH − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).