Tue, Nov 30, 2021·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Anaheim Ducks 5, Los Angeles Kings 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 08 | 216 | 211 | 02 | 2 | 537 |
| LAK | 018 | 16 | 39 | 01 | 1 | 434 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 10:43ANATroy TerryUnassisted · Snap, 0.16 xG1–0
- P2 13:29LAKAlex IafalloAssists: Viktor Arvidsson, Phillip Danault · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 17:53ANAKevin ShattenkirkUnassisted · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–1
- P3 2:27ANACam FowlerPPAssists: Adam Henrique, Kevin Shattenkirk · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–1
- P3 2:56ANAIsac LundeströmUnassisted · Wrist, 0.13 xG4–1
- P3 7:56LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Matt Roy, Anze Kopitar · Tip-in, 0.06 xG4–2
- P3 15:08LAKAlex IafalloAssists: Drew Doughty, Sean Durzi · Deflected, 0.09 xG4–3
- P3 15:34LAKDustin BrownAssists: Matt Roy, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.11 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. LAK Lias Andersson scored
- 2. ANA Troy Terry stopped
- 3. LAK Adrian Kempe stopped
- 4. ANA Trevor Zegras scored
- 5. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 6. ANA Kevin Shattenkirk scored
Penalties (3)
- P1 14:38ANAJakob Silfverberg: Holding2 min
- P2 8:30LAKSean Durzi: Interference2 min
- P3 0:35LAKAlexander Edler: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kupari won the faceoff against Lundeström
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGrant – Deslauriers – Carrick8:40
xG 0.55–0.27 (67%)attempts 7–8goals 0–1
- Getzlaf – Henrique – Terry2:48
xG 0.20–0.05 (80%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Henrique – Terry – Steel9:42
xG 0.41–0.34 (55%)attempts 5–10goals 0–2
- Rakell – Milano – Zegras11:31
xG 0.50–0.47 (52%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Drysdale15:33
xG 1.36–0.81 (63%)attempts 14–12goals 1–2
- Shattenkirk – Benoit9:04
xG 0.83–0.40 (67%)attempts 10–11goals 1–0
- Fowler – Manson17:35
xG 0.78–0.86 (47%)attempts 15–17goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- Danault – Arvidsson – Iafallo13:34
xG 0.46–0.42 (52%)attempts 13–11goals 2–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Kempe16:07
xG 0.90–1.12 (45%)attempts 18–11goals 2–1
- Moore – Andersson – Kupari7:43
xG 0.73–0.97 (43%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
- Grundstrom – Lizotte – Kaliyev8:31
xG 0.19–0.44 (30%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Roy16:21
xG 1.22–0.76 (62%)attempts 19–12goals 3–2
- Doughty – Durzi2:12
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 1–0
- Durzi – Bjornfot13:17
xG 0.37–0.39 (48%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).