Wed, Dec 1, 2021·Honda Center, Anaheim
Vegas Golden Knights 5, Anaheim Ducks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 013 | 210 | 316 | 539 |
| ANA | 011 | 415 | 28 | 634 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 4:21ANATroy TerryAssists: Jamie Drysdale, Sam Steel · Slap, 0.06 xG0–1
- P2 6:26ANARickard RakellAssists: Sonny Milano, Trevor Zegras · Snap, 0.09 xG0–2
- P2 8:23VGKWilliam CarrierAssists: Michael Amadio · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–2
- P2 13:19ANAJosh MansonUnassisted · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–3
- P2 16:49ANAHampus LindholmAssists: Sonny Milano, Trevor Zegras · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–4
- P2 19:48VGKZach WhitecloudSHAssists: Mattias Janmark, Brett Howden · Tip-in, 0.14 xG2–4
- P3 1:58VGKMattias JanmarkSHAssists: Mark Stone · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–4
- P3 6:55ANAJamie DrysdaleAssists: Sonny Milano, Trevor Zegras · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–5
- P3 11:30VGKMax PaciorettyPPAssists: Shea Theodore · Snap, 0.05 xG4–5
- P3 18:56ANAIsac LundeströmENGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.78 xG4–6
- P3 19:31VGKReilly SmithPPAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Max Pacioretty · Tip-in, 0.12 xG5–6
Penalties (7)
- P1 6:40ANAHampus Lindholm: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:03VGKWilliam Carrier: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:02VGKEvgenii Dadonov: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 1:06VGKChandler Stephenson: Cross checking2 min
- P3 3:42ANADerek Grant: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:03ANANicolas Deslauriers: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P3 18:08ANAJosh Manson: Roughing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lundeström won the faceoff against Stephenson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestCarrier – Amadio – Howden4:57
xG 0.35–0.09 (79%)attempts 8–2goals 1–1
- Dadonov – Janmark – Kolesar5:59
xG 0.15–0.29 (33%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Dadonov – Janmark – Roy2:37
xG 0.00–0.17 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–1
- Janmark – Carrier – Kolesar2:00
xG 0.02–0.20 (9%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPietrangelo – Hague16:34
xG 0.77–0.37 (68%)attempts 21–10goals 1–1
- Hague – Whitecloud2:06
xG 0.19–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Theodore – Whitecloud3:36
xG 0.05–0.15 (23%)attempts 3–3goals 0–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestRakell – Milano – Zegras9:58
xG 1.08–0.24 (82%)attempts 19–4goals 4–0
- Henrique – Terry – Steel9:39
xG 0.25–0.25 (50%)attempts 5–10goals 1–0
- Deslauriers – Carrick – Lettieri7:43
xG 0.17–0.18 (50%)attempts 3–11goals 0–0
- Grant – Silfverberg – Lundeström10:19
xG 0.29–0.45 (40%)attempts 7–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Mahura15:30
xG 0.73–0.38 (66%)attempts 14–17goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Drysdale12:16
xG 0.82–0.49 (63%)attempts 16–14goals 4–0
- Fowler – Manson14:54
xG 0.49–0.35 (59%)attempts 12–12goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it VGK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − VGK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).