Thu, Dec 2, 2021·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Boston Bruins 2, Nashville Predators 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 115 | 19 | 09 | 233 |
| NSH | 012 | 014 | 016 | 042 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:38BOSJake DeBruskPPGWGAssists: Craig Smith, Charlie Coyle · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P2 0:30BOSBrandon CarloAssists: Erik Haula · Slap, 0.06 xG2–0
Penalties (7)
- P1 12:39NSHYakov Trenin: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 12:39BOSTrent Frederic: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:39NSHMark Borowiecki: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:40NSHMattias Ekholm: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:04BOSCharlie Coyle: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:18NSHFilip Forsberg: Holding2 min
- P3 12:02NSHMark Borowiecki: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Coyle won the faceoff against Sissons
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Hall – Pastrnak12:02
xG 1.09–0.26 (81%)attempts 19–10goals 0–0
- Smith – Haula – Coyle10:59
xG 0.56–0.17 (77%)attempts 10–9goals 1–0
- Foligno – Frederic – Kuhlman6:02
xG 0.11–0.54 (17%)attempts 2–12goals 0–0
- Lazar – Nosek – DeBrusk8:12
xG 0.15–0.65 (19%)attempts 4–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – McAvoy2:10
xG 0.27–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo12:22
xG 0.42–0.17 (72%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Reilly – McAvoy4:48
xG 0.10–0.09 (54%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestCousins – Novak – Tomasino9:04
xG 0.85–0.24 (78%)attempts 18–3goals 0–0
- Johansen – Kunin – Tolvanen8:49
xG 0.40–0.15 (72%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Duchene – Granlund – Forsberg12:33
xG 0.32–0.72 (31%)attempts 13–17goals 0–0
- Sissons – Trenin – Jeannot9:29
xG 0.05–0.53 (8%)attempts 3–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Josi – Fabbro15:50
xG 0.95–0.92 (51%)attempts 27–17goals 0–1
- Borowiecki – Benning9:08
xG 0.23–0.21 (52%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Ekholm – Benning2:06
xG 0.02–0.03 (46%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NSH is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NSH − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).