Sat, Dec 4, 2021·Madison Square Garden, New York
Chicago Blackhawks 2, New York Rangers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 17 | 09 | 111 | 227 |
| NYR | 05 | 213 | 113 | 331 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:37CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Brandon Hagel, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–0
- P2 4:41NYRRyan StromePPAssists: Artemi Panarin, Adam Fox · Snap, 0.10 xG1–1
- P2 17:25NYRAdam FoxAssists: Dryden Hunt, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–2
- P3 14:46NYRArtemi PanarinGWGAssists: Ryan Strome, Jacob Trouba · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–3
- P3 18:41CHIAlex DeBrincatAssists: Patrick Kane, Seth Jones · Slap, 0.04 xG2–3
Penalties (4)
- P1 19:37NYRRyan Reaves: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P2 3:43CHIHenrik Borgstrom: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P3 3:20CHISeth Jones: Slashing2 min
- P3 7:05CHIWyatt Kalynuk: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dach won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestToews – Kane – Hagel10:05
xG 0.79–0.45 (63%)attempts 12–8goals 1–1
- Strome – DeBrincat – Dach12:48
xG 0.21–0.11 (66%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Kubalik – Borgstrom – Johnson5:18
xG 0.07–0.01 (84%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Carpenter – Slavin – Hardman7:49
xG 0.20–0.20 (51%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestde Haan – Gustafsson8:30
xG 0.58–0.26 (69%)attempts 11–4goals 0–1
- Jones – Kalynuk5:26
xG 0.55–0.26 (68%)attempts 5–5goals 1–0
- de Haan – Mitchell6:52
xG 0.16–0.05 (75%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- Strome – Hunt – Panarin13:09
xG 0.59–0.62 (49%)attempts 15–13goals 2–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Kakko9:58
xG 0.19–0.30 (39%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Gauthier – Chytil – Lafrenière9:17
xG 0.27–0.41 (40%)attempts 10–7goals 0–1
- Reaves – Goodrow – Rooney10:06
xG 0.10–0.45 (18%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren13:42
xG 0.47–0.39 (54%)attempts 13–12goals 1–0
- Nemeth – Lundkvist10:15
xG 0.18–0.12 (59%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Lindgren – Miller2:07
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).