Sun, Dec 5, 2021·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Los Angeles Kings 5, Edmonton Oilers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 113 | 113 | 314 | 540 |
| EDM | 06 | 112 | 04 | 122 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:01LAKRasmus KupariAssists: Trevor Moore · Deflected, 0.15 xG1–0
- P2 1:42LAKAdrian KempeGWGAssists: Dustin Brown, Drew Doughty · Snap, 0.05 xG2–0
- P2 10:04EDMDarnell NurseSHAssists: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Zach Hyman · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–1
- P3 14:38LAKAdrian KempePPAssists: Arthur Kaliyev, Drew Doughty · Slap, 0.57 xG3–1
- P3 16:03LAKDrew DoughtyPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Viktor Arvidsson · Slap, 0.23 xG4–1
- P3 16:57LAKTrevor MoorePPAssists: Lias Andersson, Sean Durzi · Slap, 0.25 xG5–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 15:33LAKAlexander Edler: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:45LAKSean Durzi: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:21EDMPhilip Broberg: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:46EDMDarnell Nurse: Holding2 min
- P2 15:46LAKDustin Brown: Holding2 min
- P3 13:27EDMConnor McDavid: Boarding5 min · PPG
- P3 13:27EDMConnor McDavid: Game misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Nugent-Hopkins
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Arvidsson – Iafallo13:00
xG 0.92–0.09 (91%)attempts 19–9goals 0–0
- Tynan – Grundstrom – Kaliyev5:22
xG 0.43–0.05 (90%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Moore – Andersson – Kupari8:41
xG 0.38–0.30 (56%)attempts 5–8goals 1–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Kempe10:23
xG 0.50–0.75 (40%)attempts 11–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Roy13:46
xG 0.95–0.09 (91%)attempts 20–9goals 0–0
- Durzi – Bjornfot8:57
xG 0.80–0.50 (62%)attempts 10–10goals 1–0
- Doughty – Anderson18:55
xG 0.71–1.12 (39%)attempts 18–14goals 1–0
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestHyman – McDavid – Puljujarvi4:54
xG 0.62–0.08 (89%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Draisaitl – McDavid – Puljujarvi5:56
xG 0.28–0.24 (53%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Kassian – Benson – McLeod6:34
xG 0.05–0.24 (17%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Nugent-Hopkins – Draisaitl – Yamamoto5:58
xG 0.16–0.50 (24%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Nurse – Bouchard18:50
xG 1.06–1.02 (51%)attempts 17–19goals 0–1
- Barrie – Niemelainen14:09
xG 0.17–0.66 (21%)attempts 12–15goals 0–0
- Russell – Broberg8:38
xG 0.01–0.76 (1%)attempts 2–13goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
EDM's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line EDM is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (EDM − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).